FA Cup
England224 teams1st Round Qualifying ReplaysCupFAC1 FA Cup fixture on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.
1 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
Not enough data
a complete three-way price is held for 0 fixture(s); 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
Not enough data
only 0 settled call(s) are stored for this competition
Fixtures Analysed
143
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedModel prob.
Best oddsEdge
Tue 15 Sept19:45
Jersey Bulls
Burgess Hill Town
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no price
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Model vs market
by month
Model win %
Market implied %
Mean model and devigged market probability
on the home win, by month, over 8 stored fixtures —
2 months carry a model sample, 2 a complete three-way price.
A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.
Market movers
recorded movesNo price has moved between captures yet
a move is the difference between two captures of the same fixture; the market is captured once a day, so a fixture priced only once carries no move — and a fixture that did not move is not listed as one that did
Key league stats
per game · 2026/273.2
▲ +0.1
Goals per match
over 143 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 143 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 143 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 143 finished fixtures
62.2%
▲ +3.9%
Over 2.5 goals
over 143 match · vs all competitions
55.2%
▲ +0.6%
Both teams score
over 143 match · vs all competitions
Model vs market
this competitionNot enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
Top teams
model edgeNo club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
Latest insights
from the stored data
Goals trend62.2% of the 143 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 41.3% of the 143 finished fixtures stored here, and 22.4% were drawn.
1
Upcoming
on the snapshot
2.83
Goals / match
last 12 results
42%
BTTS
5 of 12
50%
Over 2.5
6 of 12
Upcoming fixtures
Upcoming season fixtures
-
Tue 15 Sept19:45in 4dJersey Bulls
Burgess Hill Town
1st Round Qualifying Replaysnot modelledmodel building—
League table
No league table for this tie
FA Cup is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Teams this season (2)
League data: fresh · collected 14 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
Which FA Cup fixtures are coming up?
1 FA Cup fixture is in the current snapshot, starting with Jersey Bulls v Burgess Hill Town on Tue 15 Sept, 19:45 UK time.