Opportunities

Every fixture in the snapshot where the best captured price sits above the devigged fair line — ranked "Recommended" by default (production flags first, then engine score and model EV); every other sort is an explicit choice. Research, not instructions.

214positive-edge fixtures of 481 considered

All leagues EPL La Liga La Liga - Spain La Liga 2 - Spain Serie A Serie A - Italy 2. Bundesliga Austrian Football Bundesliga Bundesliga - Germany Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Rank by Recommended Model EV Model edge Price edge Model probability Kickoff

How to read these three numbers

Price edge is a market statement — the best available odds vs the devigged fair line (sharp-anchored where held): a mispricing claim, not a win claim. Model edge is our model's probability minus the market fair probability, in points. Model EV is the expected value of the current best price under our model. They are three different things and are never relabelled as each other; judge all of them on the track record.

Showing the strongest 60 of 214 positive-edge fixtures — refine in Explore for the rest.

LALFri 11 Sept, 20:00 · in 50m

SevillavValencia

Selection & numbers — free with an account

Our pick: this fixture cleared our bar and was posted.

Any single result stays uncertain.FLAGGED — our pick

BUNFri 11 Sept, 19:30 · in 20m

Union BerlinvFC Schalke 04

Selection & numbers — free with an account

Our pick: this fixture cleared our bar and was posted.

Any single result stays uncertain.FLAGGED — our pick

LALSat 12 Sept, 17:30 · in 22h 20m

Athletic BilbaovElche CF

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

EPLSat 12 Sept, 20:00 · in 24h 50m

SunderlandvArsenal

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

LALWed 16 Sept, 18:00 · in 5d

Atlético MadridvCA Osasuna

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

SASat 12 Sept, 19:45 · in 24h 35m

Atalanta BCvCagliari

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

SASun 13 Sept, 17:00 · in 45h 50m

NapolivBologna

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

EFLTue 15 Sept, 20:00 · in 4d

Ipswich TownvArsenal

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

EPLSat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

Crystal PalacevIpswich Town

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

L1Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

Stockport County FCvLeicester City

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

SASat 19 Sept, 14:00 · in 8d

UdinesevCagliari

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

PRISun 13 Sept, 20:30 · in 2d

FamalicãovSporting Lisbon

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

LALTue 15 Sept, 18:00 · in 4d

Rayo VallecanovEspanyol

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

EPLSun 20 Sept, 14:00 · in 9d

BournemouthvLiverpool

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

CSWed 16 Sept, 23:00 · in 5d

Clube Atlético MineirovSantos

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

PSTue 15 Sept, 19:45 · in 4d

Falkirk F.C.vHearts

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

EPLMon 14 Sept, 20:00 · in 3d

Leeds UnitedvNewcastle United

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

UELWed 16 Sept, 17:45 · in 5d

FC Ararat-ArmeniavSparta Prague

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

UELThu 17 Sept, 20:00 · in 6d

LillestromvTorreense

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

EFLFri 11 Sept, 20:00 · in 50m

West Ham UnitedvWrexham AFC

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

BUNSat 12 Sept, 14:30 · in 19h 20m

SC FreiburgvBorussia Monchengladbach

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 · in 24h 35m

AuxerrevNice

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

LALSun 13 Sept, 13:00 · in 41h 50m

Celta VigovMálaga

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELWed 16 Sept, 20:00 · in 5d

AC MilanvBenfica

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

LALThu 17 Sept, 18:00 · in 6d

Real BetisvGetafe

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

EFLSat 12 Sept, 12:30 · in 17h 20m

West Bromwich AlbionvQueens Park Rangers

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

EPLSat 12 Sept, 17:30 · in 22h 20m

Tottenham HotspurvEverton

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

EPLSat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

Aston VillavNottingham Forest

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

Milton Keynes DonsvPeterborough United

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELWed 16 Sept, 20:00 · in 5d

AnderlechtvLyon

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L2Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

BarnetvAccrington Stanley

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

LALWed 16 Sept, 18:00 · in 5d

Deportivo La CoruñavSevilla

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

LALSat 12 Sept, 13:00 · in 17h 50m

Real Racing Club de SantandervAlavés

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Sat 12 Sept, 16:15 · in 21h 05m

StrasbourgvAS Monaco

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

LALMon 14 Sept, 20:00 · in 3d

VillarrealvReal Betis

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

SSSun 13 Sept, 15:30 · in 44h 20m

FC Lausanne-SportvServette

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELWed 16 Sept, 20:00 · in 5d

SK Sturm GrazvRennes

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

Sheffield WednesdayvWigan Athletic

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

DSSun 13 Sept, 13:00 · in 41h 50m

Silkeborg IFvViborg FF

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

EPLSat 19 Sept, 15:00 · in 8d

Brighton and Hove AlbionvArsenal

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

LOIFri 11 Sept, 19:45 · in 35m

Shelbourne DublinvDerry City

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

SASun 13 Sept, 14:00 · in 42h 50m

LeccevMonza

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Fri 11 Sept, 19:45 · in 35m

RennesvMarseille

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 · in 7d

AS MonacovRC Lens

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

BFDSun 13 Sept, 15:00 · in 43h 50m

GenkvGent

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L2Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

WalsallvRochdale

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

EPLSat 19 Sept, 12:30 · in 8d

Tottenham HotspurvAston Villa

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 · in 24h 35m

Paris FCvLyon

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L2Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 · in 17h 20m

Grimsby TownvBristol Rovers

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

Cambridge UnitedvReading

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

BFDSun 13 Sept, 17:30 · in 46h 20m

SV Zulte-WaregemvCharleroi

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L2Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 · in 17h 20m

Crawley TownvCheltenham Town

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

BUNSat 12 Sept, 14:30 · in 19h 20m

FSV Mainz 05vEintracht Frankfurt

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

BFDSun 13 Sept, 18:15 · in 47h 05m

RAAL La LouvièrevKV Kortrijk

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

EFLSat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

Preston North EndvLincoln City

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELThu 17 Sept, 20:00 · in 6d

Viktoria PlzeňvUnion Saint-Gilloise

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 · in 24h 35m

Le HavrevAngers

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

L1Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 · in 17h 20m

Notts CountyvBradford City

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELThu 17 Sept, 20:00 · in 6d

Besiktas JKvMarseille

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

EFLSat 12 Sept, 15:00 · in 19h 50m

Charlton AthleticvPortsmouth

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 11 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.

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Every positive-edge fixture, ranked in our recommended order with the fair line beside the best price — free with an account. One email, no card.

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See the open track record

Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.