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Value Bets — Positive Edge vs the Fair Line

A factual price view — research, not instructions.
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This page selects every fixture where the best captured bookmaker price sits above the devigged, sharp-anchored fair line for the same outcome. A fixture with no captured fair line has no comparison to make and is left out.
214 fixtures of 481 considered
All leagues 3. Liga - GermanyAllsvenskan - SwedenAustrian Football BundesligaBelgium First DivBrazil Série ABrazil Série BBundesliga - GermanyBundesliga 2 - GermanyChampionshipCopa LibertadoresCopa SudamericanaCoppa ItaliaDenmark SuperligaDutch EredivisieEFL CupEkstraklasa - PolandEliteserien - NorwayEPLFA CupFrauen-BundesligaJ LeagueK League 1La Liga - SpainLa Liga 2 - SpainLeague 1League 2League of IrelandLiga MXLigue 1 - FranceLigue 2 - FranceMLSPremiership - ScotlandPrimeira Liga - PortugalPrimera División - ArgentinaPrimera División - ChileSaudi Pro LeagueSerie A - ItalySerie B - ItalySuper League - ChinaSuper League - GreeceSuperettan - SwedenSwiss SuperleagueTurkey Super LeagueUEFA Europa LeagueVeikkausliiga - Finland
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time.
MatchSideBest priceFair lineEdge
Sevilla crestSevilla v ValenciaValencia crest members — members members
Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin v FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04 crest members — members members
Athletic Bilbao crestAthletic Bilbao v Elche CFElche CF crest members — members members
Sunderland crestSunderland v ArsenalArsenal crest members — members members
Atlético Madrid crestAtlético Madrid v CA OsasunaCA Osasuna crest members — members members
Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BC v CagliariCagliari crest members — members members
Napoli crestNapoli v BolognaBologna crest members — members members
Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town v ArsenalArsenal crest members — members members
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace v Ipswich TownIpswich Town crest members — members members
Stockport County FC crestStockport County FC v Leicester CityLeicester City crest members — members members
Udinese crestUdinese v CagliariCagliari crest members — members members
Famalicão crestFamalicão v Sporting LisbonSporting Lisbon crest members — members members
Rayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano v EspanyolEspanyol crest members — members members
Bournemouth crestBournemouth v LiverpoolLiverpool crest members — members members
Clube Atlético Mineiro crestClube Atlético Mineiro v SantosSantos crest members — members members
Falkirk F.C. crestFalkirk F.C. v HeartsHearts crest members — members members
Leeds United crestLeeds United v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United crest members — members members
FC Ararat-Armenia crestFC Ararat-Armenia v Sparta PragueSparta Prague crest members — members members
Lillestrom crestLillestrom v TorreenseTorreense crest members — members members
West Ham United crestWest Ham United v Wrexham AFCWrexham AFC crest members — members members
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg v Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia Monchengladbach crest members — members members
Auxerre crestAuxerre v NiceNice crest members — members members
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo v MálagaMálaga crest members — members members
AC Milan crestAC Milan v BenficaBenfica crest members — members members
Real Betis crestReal Betis v GetafeGetafe crest members — members members
West Bromwich Albion crestWest Bromwich Albion v Queens Park RangersQueens Park Rangers crest members — members members
Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur v EvertonEverton crest members — members members
Aston Villa crestAston Villa v Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest crest members — members members
Milton Keynes Dons crestMilton Keynes Dons v Peterborough UnitedPeterborough United crest members — members members
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht v LyonLyon crest members — members members
Barnet crestBarnet v Accrington StanleyAccrington Stanley crest members — members members
Deportivo La Coruña crestDeportivo La Coruña v SevillaSevilla crest members — members members
Real Racing Club de Santander crestReal Racing Club de Santander v AlavésAlavés crest members — members members
Strasbourg crestStrasbourg v AS MonacoAS Monaco crest members — members members
Villarreal crestVillarreal v Real BetisReal Betis crest members — members members
FC Lausanne-Sport crestFC Lausanne-Sport v ServetteServette crest members — members members
SK Sturm Graz crestSK Sturm Graz v RennesRennes crest members — members members
Sheffield Wednesday crestSheffield Wednesday v Wigan AthleticWigan Athletic crest members — members members
Silkeborg IF crestSilkeborg IF v Viborg FFViborg FF crest members — members members
Brighton and Hove Albion crestBrighton and Hove Albion v ArsenalArsenal crest members — members members
Shelbourne Dublin crestShelbourne Dublin v Derry CityDerry City crest members — members members
Lecce crestLecce v MonzaMonza crest members — members members
Rennes crestRennes v MarseilleMarseille crest members — members members
AS Monaco crestAS Monaco v RC LensRC Lens crest members — members members
Genk crestGenk v GentGent crest members — members members
Walsall crestWalsall v RochdaleRochdale crest members — members members
Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur v Aston VillaAston Villa crest members — members members
Paris FC crestParis FC v LyonLyon crest members — members members
Grimsby Town crestGrimsby Town v Bristol RoversBristol Rovers crest members — members members
Cambridge United crestCambridge United v ReadingReading crest members — members members
SV Zulte-Waregem crestSV Zulte-Waregem v CharleroiCharleroi crest members — members members
Crawley Town crestCrawley Town v Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town crest members — members members
FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt crest members — members members
RAAL La Louvière crestRAAL La Louvière v KV KortrijkKV Kortrijk crest members — members members
Preston North End crestPreston North End v Lincoln CityLincoln City crest members — members members
Viktoria Plzeň v Union Saint-GilloiseUnion Saint-Gilloise crest members — members members
Le Havre crestLe Havre v AngersAngers crest members — members members
Notts County crestNotts County v Bradford CityBradford City crest members — members members
Besiktas JK crestBesiktas JK v MarseilleMarseille crest members — members members
Charlton Athletic crestCharlton Athletic v PortsmouthPortsmouth crest members — members members
Wimbledon crestWimbledon v Doncaster RoversDoncaster Rovers crest members — members members
Derby County crestDerby County v Birmingham CityBirmingham City crest members — members members
Sheffield United crestSheffield United v Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers crest members — members members
1. FC Magdeburg crest1. FC Magdeburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern crest members — members members
FC St. Pauli crestFC St. Pauli v VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg crest members — members members
Levante crestLevante v BarcelonaBarcelona crest members — members members
Panathinaikos crestPanathinaikos v Panetolikos AgrinioPanetolikos Agrinio crest members — members members
Brest crestBrest v Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain crest members — members members
Reading crestReading v BrentfordBrentford crest members — members members
Elversberg crestElversberg v Bayern MunichBayern Munich crest members — members members
Olympiakos Piraeus crestOlympiakos Piraeus v Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok crest members — members members
Barcelona crestBarcelona v Real Racing Club de SantanderReal Racing Club de Santander crest members — members members
Gazişehir Gaziantep crestGazişehir Gaziantep v FenerbahceFenerbahce crest members — members members
Vancouver Whitecaps FC crestVancouver Whitecaps FC v Austin FCAustin FC crest members — members members
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace v Lech PoznańLech Poznań crest members — members members
Flamengo crestFlamengo v CorinthiansCorinthians crest members — members members
Viking FK crestViking FK v Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK crest members — members members
Le Mans FC crestLe Mans FC v RC LensRC Lens crest members — members members
Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC crest members — members members
Neom crestNeom v Al-FatehAl-Fateh crest members — members members
Torino crestTorino v AS RomaAS Roma crest members — members members
Plymouth Argyle crestPlymouth Argyle v BarnsleyBarnsley crest members — members members
Drogheda United crestDrogheda United v Sligo RoversSligo Rovers crest members — members members
Independiente Rivadavia crestIndependiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi Mar del PlataAldosivi Mar del Plata crest members — members members
Inter Milan crestInter Milan v UdineseUdinese crest members — members members
Manchester United crestManchester United v Manchester CityManchester City crest members — members members
Montevideo City Torque crestMontevideo City Torque v Club CiencianoClub Cienciano crest members — members members
Excelsior crestExcelsior v FC UtrechtFC Utrecht crest members — members members
Guadalajara crestGuadalajara v PumasPumas crest members — members members
Gamba Osaka crestGamba Osaka v FC TokyoFC Tokyo crest members — members members
PAOK Thessaloniki crestPAOK Thessaloniki v Aris ThessalonikiAris Thessaloniki crest members — members members
Casa Pia crestCasa Pia v FC PortoFC Porto crest members — members members
Galway United crestGalway United v BohemiansBohemians crest members — members members
Blackburn Rovers crestBlackburn Rovers v MillwallMillwall crest members — members members
Oxford United crestOxford United v Burton AlbionBurton Albion crest members — members members
Elche CF crestElche CF v Real MadridReal Madrid crest members — members members
Waterford FC crestWaterford FC v DundalkDundalk crest members — members members
Pisa crestPisa v Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella crest members — members members
Lazio crestLazio v AC MilanAC Milan crest members — members members
Burgos CF crestBurgos CF v AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC crest members — members members
Mallorca crestMallorca v Sabadell FCSabadell FC crest members — members members
América Mineiro crestAmérica Mineiro v São BernardoSão Bernardo crest members — members members
Genoa crestGenoa v FrosinoneFrosinone crest members — members members
Real Madrid crestReal Madrid v Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano crest members — members members
FC Nordsjaelland crestFC Nordsjaelland v AGF AarhusAGF Aarhus crest members — members members
Oldham Athletic crestOldham Athletic v Chesterfield FCChesterfield FC crest members — members members
León crestLeón v Atlético San LuisAtlético San Luis crest members — members members
Londrina crestLondrina v Ponte PretaPonte Preta crest members — members members
Hammarby IF crestHammarby IF v IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna crest members — members members
Bodø/Glimt crestBodø/Glimt v SandefjordSandefjord crest members — members members
Girona FC crestGirona FC v CD CastellónCD Castellón crest members — members members
Málaga crestMálaga v VillarrealVillarreal crest members — members members
FC Machida Zelvia crestFC Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F MarinosYokohama F Marinos crest members — members members
Coventry City crestCoventry City v Brighton and Hove AlbionBrighton and Hove Albion crest members — members members
Atletico Goianiense crestAtletico Goianiense v CriciumaCriciuma crest members — members members
Chelsea crestChelsea v Hull CityHull City crest members — members members
Liverpool crestLiverpool v Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur crest members — members members
Colorado Rapids crestColorado Rapids v CF MontrealCF Montreal crest members — members members
Nautico PE crestNautico PE v Operario PROperario PR crest members — members members
IK Sirius crestIK Sirius v Degerfors IFDegerfors IF crest members — members members
Augsburg crestAugsburg v Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen crest members — members members
FC St Gallen crestFC St Gallen v FC SionFC Sion crest members — members members
Platense crestPlatense v Fluminense-RJFluminense-RJ crest members — members members
Sassuolo crestSassuolo v JuventusJuventus crest members — members members
Boca Juniors crestBoca Juniors v Central CórdobaCentral Córdoba crest members — members members
St Patricks Athletic crestSt Patricks Athletic v Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers crest members — members members
Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV v 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln crest members — members members
Sao Paulo crestSao Paulo v Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors crest members — members members
Columbus Crew SC crestColumbus Crew SC v New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls crest members — members members
CA Osasuna crestCA Osasuna v EspanyolEspanyol crest members — members members
1. FC Köln crest1. FC Köln v Werder BremenWerder Bremen crest members — members members
VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart v Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund crest members — members members
FC Midtjylland crestFC Midtjylland v Brondby IFBrondby IF crest members — members members
SC Verl crestSC Verl v SV MeppenSV Meppen crest members — members members
IFK Goteborg crestIFK Goteborg v Halmstads BKHalmstads BK crest members — members members
Le Mans FC crestLe Mans FC v LorientLorient crest members — members members
Nacional crestNacional v AlvercaAlverca crest members — members members
Arouca crestArouca v Santa ClaraSanta Clara crest members — members members
Omonoia FC crestOmonoia FC v Celta VigoCelta Vigo crest members — members members
Tijuana crestTijuana v QuerétaroQuerétaro crest members — members members
Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake v New York City FCNew York City FC crest members — members members
Necaxa crestNecaxa v PueblaPuebla crest members — members members
Southampton crestSouthampton v Bristol CityBristol City crest members — members members
Celta Fortuna crestCelta Fortuna v SD EibarSD Eibar crest members — members members
AC Oulu crestAC Oulu v IF GnistanIF Gnistan crest members — members members
Samsunspor crestSamsunspor v Çorum FKÇorum FK crest members — members members
SK Beveren crestSK Beveren v Sint TruidenSint Truiden crest members — members members
Sangju Sangmu FC crestSangju Sangmu FC v Gangwon FCGangwon FC crest members — members members
AS Roma crestAS Roma v Inter MilanInter Milan crest members — members members
Bayern Munich crestBayern Munich v Union BerlinUnion Berlin crest members — members members
Alavés crestAlavés v ValenciaValencia crest members — members members
Bournemouth crestBournemouth v BrentfordBrentford crest members — members members
Lille crestLille v TroyesTroyes crest members — members members
St. Louis City SC crestSt. Louis City SC v Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC crest members — members members
Ljungskile SK crestLjungskile SK v Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF crest members — members members
FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati v Charlotte FCCharlotte FC crest members — members members
FC Dallas crestFC Dallas v Portland TimbersPortland Timbers crest members — members members
US Catanzaro 1929 crestUS Catanzaro 1929 v CarrareseCarrarese crest members — members members
LA Galaxy crestLA Galaxy v Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FC crest members — members members
Fortuna Sittard crestFortuna Sittard v AjaxAjax crest members — members members
Shrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury Town v Northampton TownNorthampton Town crest members — members members
Guingamp crestGuingamp v Annecy FCAnnecy FC crest members — members members
Botafogo-SP crestBotafogo-SP v GoiásGoiás crest members — members members
RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig v Hamburger SVHamburger SV crest members — members members
PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven v Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam crest members — members members
Austria Wien crestAustria Wien v Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau crest members — members members
Monterrey crestMonterrey v TigresTigres crest members — members members
Talleres crestTalleres v Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe crest members — members members
San Diego FC crestSan Diego FC v Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union crest members — members members
Benevento crestBenevento v Hellas VeronaHellas Verona crest members — members members
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad v Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid crest members — members members
Everton crestEverton v Ipswich TownIpswich Town crest members — members members
Al-Riyadh crestAl-Riyadh v Al-KholoodAl-Kholood crest members — members members
Fortuna Düsseldorf crestFortuna Düsseldorf v MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg crest members — members members
Südtirol crestSüdtirol v ModenaModena crest members — members members
Inter Miami CF crestInter Miami CF v Nashville SCNashville SC crest members — members members
Middlesbrough crestMiddlesbrough v Norwich CityNorwich City crest members — members members
Newcastle United crestNewcastle United v Hull CityHull City crest members — members members
FC Inter Turku crestFC Inter Turku v VPS VaasaVPS Vaasa crest members — members members
Angers crestAngers v TroyesTroyes crest members — members members
Shimizu S Pulse crestShimizu S Pulse v Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka crest members — members members
AIK crestAIK v Västerås SKVästerås SK crest members — members members
Karlsruher SC crestKarlsruher SC v FC Energie CottbusFC Energie Cottbus crest members — members members
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC crestTianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Liaoning Tieren FCLiaoning Tieren FC crest members — members members
Port Vale crestPort Vale v Exeter CityExeter City crest members — members members
Swansea City crestSwansea City v BurnleyBurnley crest members — members members
Blackpool crestBlackpool v Bromley FCBromley FC crest members — members members
Estudiantes crestEstudiantes v PlatensePlatense crest members — members members
Liverpool crestLiverpool v FulhamFulham crest members — members members
WSG Tirol crestWSG Tirol v HartbergHartberg crest members — members members
KuPS Kuopio crestKuPS Kuopio v HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki crest members — members members
Venezia crestVenezia v FiorentinaFiorentina crest members — members members
IK Brage crestIK Brage v Sandvikens IFSandvikens IF crest members — members members
Watford crestWatford v Stoke CityStoke City crest members — members members
Venezia crestVenezia v LazioLazio crest members — members members
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund v SC PaderbornSC Paderborn crest members — members members
KFUM crestKFUM v AalesundAalesund crest members — members members
Hapoel Be'er Sheva crestHapoel Be'er Sheva v Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb crest members — members members
Gillingham crestGillingham v Tranmere RoversTranmere Rovers crest members — members members
Sturm Graz crestSturm Graz v LASKLASK crest members — members members
FC Twente Enschede crestFC Twente Enschede v ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag crest members — members members
USL Dunkerque crestUSL Dunkerque v Saint EtienneSaint Etienne crest members — members members
Grêmio crestGrêmio v Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama crest members — members members
Wisła Kraków crestWisła Kraków v Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok crest members — members members
Malmo FF crestMalmo FF v Örgryte ISÖrgryte IS crest members — members members
Olympiakos Piraeus crestOlympiakos Piraeus v OFI CreteOFI Crete crest members — members members
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen v NK CeljeNK Celje crest members — members members
Benfica crestBenfica v Gil VicenteGil Vicente crest members — members members
Union Saint-Gilloise crestUnion Saint-Gilloise v Lommel SKLommel SK crest members — members members
Al-Taawoun crestAl-Taawoun v Al-HilalAl-Hilal crest members — members members
Al-Khaleej crestAl-Khaleej v Al-NassrAl-Nassr crest members — members members
Como crestComo v ParmaParma crest members — members members
Como crestComo v ParmaParma crest members — members members
Club Brugge crestClub Brugge v Royal AntwerpRoyal Antwerp crest members — members members
Why closing-line value? CLV is the professional benchmark for whether an edge process is real — it converges in hundreds of data points, not thousands. See the public ledger and the interactive opportunity board.

Frequently asked questions

What is a value bet?
A price that sits above the fair (margin-free) probability of the outcome — the bookmaker is offering longer odds than the event’s estimated chance justifies. Value is a statement about a price, never a promise about a result: any single bet can lose.
How is the fair line calculated?
The bookmaker margin is removed (devigging) from captured 1X2 prices, anchored to a sharp book where one is held in the snapshot. The result is a margin-free probability for each outcome, timestamped.
Does a positive edge mean the bet wins?
No. Edge is expected value over many decisions, not a prediction of one result. The honest way to judge an edge process is closing-line value — which this site publishes for every call, win or lose.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 11 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.