SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Premiership
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Premiership

Scotland12 teamsPremiership - Scotland
Next match Falkirk F.C. v Hearts Tue 15 Sept, 19:45

3 Premiership fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

3 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
Not enough data
a complete three-way price is held for 2 fixture(s); 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
+16.0%
3 settled
Fixtures Analysed
33
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 3 months 42.5% 45% JulAugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 350 stored fixtures — 3 months carry a model sample, 3 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
1 Motherwell crestMotherwell Aberdeen crestAberdeen Aberdeen1X2 4.20 → 4.00 -4.8%Shortening 2 Falkirk F.C. crestFalkirk F.C. Hearts crestHearts Falkirk F.C.1X2 3.75 → 3.60 -4.0%Shortening 3 Hibernian crestHibernian Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock Hibernian1X2 1.50 → 1.56 +4.0%Drifting
View all fixtures →

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.61
▼ -0.5
Goals per match
over 33 match · vs all competitions
13.5
▼ -0.4
Shots per team
over 8 team per match · vs all competitions
4.13
▼ -0.6
On target per team
over 8 team per match · vs all competitions
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 4 of 33 finished fixtures
54.5%
▼ -3.8%
Over 2.5 goals
over 33 match · vs all competitions
51.5%
▼ -3.1%
Both teams score
over 33 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend54.5% of the 33 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 42.4% of the 33 finished fixtures stored here, and 18.2% were drawn.
3
Upcoming
on the snapshot
2.17
Goals / match
last 12 results
58%
BTTS
7 of 12
50%
Over 2.5
6 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Tue 15 Sept19:45in 4d
    Falkirk F.C. crestFalkirk F.C. Hearts crestHearts
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Tue 15 Sept19:45in 4d
    Hibernian crestHibernian Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Tue 15 Sept19:45in 4d
    Motherwell crestMotherwell Aberdeen crestAberdeen
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No stored table rows for this competition yet — competition type not established — stored rows cannot be attributed to it.

Teams this season (6)

Aberdeen crestAberdeenFalkirk F.C. crestFalkirk F.C.Hearts crestHeartsHibernian crestHibernianKilmarnock crestKilmarnockMotherwell crestMotherwell

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-05 Aberdeen v Kilmarnock Over 2.5 Goals 1.71 → 1.68 +1.8% ✕ LOSS
2026-09-03 Hibernian v Hearts Over 2.5 Goals 1.84 → 1.77 +4% ✓ WIN
2026-09-02 Falkirk F.C. v Rangers Rangers to Win 1.64 → 1.57 +4.5% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 14 h ago

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Frequently asked questions

Which Premiership - Scotland fixtures are coming up?
3 Premiership - Scotland fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Falkirk F.C. v Hearts on Tue 15 Sept, 19:45 UK time.