Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Dundee — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
64.5
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.8%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
8th
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6LDWWLD
8 pts from 6
A
ST Mirren
1–2
-1.0
H
Rangers
2–2
-0.7
A
Falkirk
2–1
+1.8
H
Motherwell
2–1
+1.4
A
Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
-1.1
H
ST Johnstone
1–1
-0.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches)
Model expected (8 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+4.6 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
1.2
#4 of 12
Weaknesses
Clean sheets
2
#10 of 12
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.4
#5 of 12
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.2
#4 of 12
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#10 of 12
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed40%
Scored before half time
of 10 goals
30%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 10 goals
10%
From the penalty spot
of 10 goals
27%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 11 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures
(21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PRENo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Dens Park gazetteer
Recorded form
LDWWLL
last 12: 1.25 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 17% (21 results held)
A ST Mirren 1-2 L · H Rangers 2-2 D · A Falkirk 2-1 W · H Motherwell 2-1 W · A Heart Of Midlothian 1-2 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | M. Akinmboni | from Bournemouth | Loan | 2026-08-26 |
| IN | O. Goodman | from Crystal Palace | Loan | 2026-07-24 |
| IN | O. Bevan | from Bournemouth | Transfer | 2026-07-09 |
| IN | O. Bevan | from Bournemouth | Transfer | 2026-07-09 |
| OUT | Tony Yogane | to Brentford | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| IN | C. Jones | from Hull City | Free Transfer | 2025-07-15 |
| IN | A. Hay | from Brentford | Free agent | 2025-07-03 |
| IN | Tony Yogane | from Brentford | Loan | 2025-06-30 |
| IN | I. Samuels | from Brighton | Transfer | 2025-01-13 |
| OUT | R. Howley | to Coventry | 2024-07-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 19 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Dundee play next?
Dundee's next fixture in the snapshot is Hibernian v Dundee on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (Premiership).