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Track record
Every call, timestamped and graded against the closing line — updated live, wins and losses alike.
-0.25%
avg CLV — all flags
45.3%
beat the close
24 of 53 graded flags
8 of 20
last 20 flags
35W–18L
posted record (secondary)
small sample, high variance — judge us on CLV

The ledger (latest 54 · first tip 2026-06-13 · 1 pending)

Posted (UTC)MatchSelectionTakenCloseCLVResult
2026-07-13 08:00 América Mineiro v Londrina
Brazil Série B
 América Mineiro to Win
h2h
 2.02 2.18 -7.3% LOSS
2026-07-12 10:00 Sandefjord v HamKam
Eliteserien - Norway
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.70 1.65 +3% WIN
2026-07-12 09:00 KFUM v Bodø/Glimt
Eliteserien - Norway
 Bodø/Glimt to Win
h2h
 1.57 1.53 +2.6% WIN
2026-07-12 08:00 Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK
Eliteserien - Norway
 Rosenborg to Win
h2h
 1.66 1.62 +2.5% WIN
2026-07-11 10:00 Norway v England
FIFA World Cup
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.65 1.65 0% WIN
2026-07-11 09:00 Argentina v Switzerland
FIFA World Cup
 Argentina to Win
h2h
 1.73 1.76 -1.7% WIN
2026-07-11 08:00 Zhejiang v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Super League - China
 Zhejiang to Win
h2h
 1.44 1.44 0% pending
2026-07-10 10:00 VPS Vaasa v SJK Seinäjoki
Veikkausliiga - Finland
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.58 1.63 -3.1% LOSS
2026-07-10 09:00 Waterford FC v St Patricks Athletic
League of Ireland
 St Patricks Athletic to Win
h2h
 1.69 1.63 +3.7% LOSS
2026-07-10 08:00 Spain v Belgium
FIFA World Cup
 Spain to Win
h2h
 1.69 1.71 -1.2% WIN
2026-07-08 08:00 Ponte Preta v Criciuma
Brazil Série B
 Criciuma to Win
h2h
 1.66 1.66 0% WIN
2026-07-06 10:00 USA v Belgium
FIFA World Cup
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.61 1.67 -3.6% WIN
2026-07-05 09:00 Qingdao Hainiu FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Super League - China
 Chengdu Rongcheng FC to Win
h2h
 1.63 1.59 +2.5% LOSS
2026-07-05 08:00 Brazil v Norway
FIFA World Cup
 Brazil to Win
h2h
 1.85 1.84 +0.5% LOSS
2026-07-04 10:00 FC Lahti v IF Gnistan
Veikkausliiga - Finland
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.70 1.69 +0.6% LOSS
2026-07-04 09:00 SJK Seinäjoki v TPS Turku
Veikkausliiga - Finland
 SJK Seinäjoki to Win
h2h
 1.77 1.86 -4.8% WIN
2026-07-04 08:00 Degerfors IF v Malmo FF
Allsvenskan - Sweden
 Malmo FF to Win
h2h
 2.24 2.54 -11.8% WIN
2026-07-03 10:00 Shelbourne Dublin v Dundalk
League of Ireland
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.64 1.68 -2.4% WIN
2026-07-03 09:00 IK Sirius v Mjällby AIF
Allsvenskan - Sweden
 IK Sirius to Win
h2h
 1.69 1.72 -1.7% LOSS
2026-07-03 08:00 St Patricks Athletic v Galway United
League of Ireland
 St Patricks Athletic to Win
h2h
 1.47 1.46 +0.7% WIN
2026-07-02 10:00 Spain v Austria
FIFA World Cup
 Both Teams to Score — No
btts
 1.80 1.86 -3.2% WIN
2026-07-02 09:00 Portugal v Croatia
FIFA World Cup
 Portugal to Win
h2h
 1.80 1.74 +3.4% WIN
2026-07-02 08:00 Switzerland v Algeria
FIFA World Cup
 Switzerland to Win
h2h
 2.10 2.05 +2.4% WIN
2026-06-30 10:00 Ivory Coast v Norway
FIFA World Cup
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.74 1.73 +0.6% WIN
2026-06-29 08:00 Brazil v Japan
FIFA World Cup
 Brazil to Win
h2h
 1.75 1.85 -5.4% WIN
2026-06-28 10:00 Sandvikens IF v Helsingborgs IF
Superettan - Sweden
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.61 1.59 +1.3% WIN
2026-06-28 09:00 IFK Norrkoping v Norrby IF
Superettan - Sweden
 IFK Norrkoping to Win
h2h
 1.47 1.50 -2% LOSS
2026-06-28 08:00 Atletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta
Brazil Série B
 Atletico Goianiense to Win
h2h
 1.47 1.47 0% WIN
2026-06-27 10:00 Henan FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Super League - China
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.68 1.67 +0.6% WIN
2026-06-27 08:00 Criciuma v São Bernardo
Brazil Série B
 Criciuma to Win
h2h
 1.69 1.76 -4% WIN
2026-06-26 08:00 Shamrock Rovers v Galway United
League of Ireland
 Shamrock Rovers to Win
h2h
 1.47 1.45 +1.4% WIN
2026-06-25 10:00 Ecuador v Germany
FIFA World Cup
 Over 2.5 Goals
totals
 1.69 1.64 +3% WIN
2026-06-24 10:00 Scotland v Brazil
FIFA World Cup
 Both Teams to Score — No
btts
 1.69 1.70 -0.6% WIN
2026-06-23 10:00 England v Ghana
FIFA World Cup
 Both Teams to Score — No
btts
 1.63 1.66 -1.8% WIN
2026-06-23 08:00 KuPS Kuopio v Ilves Tampere
Veikkausliiga - Finland
 KuPS Kuopio to Win
h2h
 1.69 1.67 +1.2% WIN
2026-06-22 10:00 IK Oddevold v Ljungskile SK
Superettan - Sweden
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.67 1.68 -0.6% LOSS
2026-06-22 08:00 Argentina v Austria
FIFA World Cup
 Argentina to Win
h2h
 1.51 1.49 +1.3% WIN
2026-06-21 11:00 Avai v Cuiabá
Brazil Série B
 Cuiabá to Win
h2h
 3.25 — — LOSS
2026-06-21 10:00 Norrby IF v Nordic United FC
Superettan - Sweden
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.60 1.63 -1.8% LOSS
2026-06-20 10:00 Germany v Ivory Coast
FIFA World Cup
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.76 1.78 -1.1% WIN
2026-06-20 08:00 Netherlands v Sweden
FIFA World Cup
 Netherlands to Win
h2h
 1.76 1.74 +1.1% WIN
2026-06-19 10:00 Waterford FC v Shamrock Rovers
League of Ireland
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.79 1.78 +0.6% LOSS
2026-06-19 08:00 USA v Australia
FIFA World Cup
 USA to Win
h2h
 1.65 1.66 -0.6% WIN
2026-06-18 08:00 Switzerland v Bosnia & Herzegovina
FIFA World Cup
 Switzerland to Win
h2h
 1.61 1.59 +1.3% WIN
2026-06-17 10:00 Portugal v DR Congo
FIFA World Cup
 Both Teams to Score — No
btts
 1.67 1.67 0% LOSS
2026-06-17 08:00 TPS Turku v KuPS Kuopio
Veikkausliiga - Finland
 KuPS Kuopio to Win
h2h
 1.69 1.65 +2.4% WIN
2026-06-16 10:00 IFK Värnamo v Helsingborgs IF
Superettan - Sweden
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.58 1.60 -1.2% LOSS
2026-06-16 08:00 France v Senegal
FIFA World Cup
 France to Win
h2h
 1.53 1.52 +0.7% WIN
2026-06-15 10:00 IFK Norrkoping v Varbergs BoIS
Superettan - Sweden
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.64 1.64 0% LOSS
2026-06-15 08:00 Belgium v Egypt
FIFA World Cup
 Belgium to Win
h2h
 1.64 1.57 +4.5% LOSS
2026-06-14 11:00 Málaga v Almería
La Liga 2 - Spain
 Almería to Win
h2h
 3.65 3.65 0% LOSS
2026-06-14 10:00 Ljungskile SK v Östersunds FK
Superettan - Sweden
 Both Teams to Score
btts
 1.66 1.67 -0.6% WIN
2026-06-14 08:00 Juventude v Ponte Preta
Brazil Série B
 Juventude to Win
h2h
 1.57 1.48 +6.1% WIN
2026-06-13 12:45 Brazil v Morocco
FIFA World Cup
 Brazil to Win
h2h
 1.72 1.73 -0.6% LOSS

Shadow record — what the engine would have played on every scanned fixture

Every day the engine scores every fixture it scans, not just the ones posted. Would-be picks above threshold are logged and graded exactly like real ones — an evidence stream that cannot be cherry-picked after the fact.
3
would-be picks graded
100%
shadow win rate
+2.17u
shadow units (flat 1u)

Calibration — do our 60%s win 60% of the time?

0%0%25%25%50%50%75%75%100%100% model probability observed frequency 0–10%: predicted 4.2%, observed 27.3% (n=11)10–20%: predicted 16.3%, observed 20% (n=15)20–30%: predicted 26.8%, observed 27.5% (n=51)30–40%: predicted 33.7%, observed 35% (n=40)40–50%: predicted 45.5%, observed 39.1% (n=23)50–60%: predicted 58.4%, observed 50% (n=4)60–70%: predicted 65.5%, observed 60% (n=5)70–80%: predicted 78.5%, observed 33.3% (n=3)80–90%: predicted 83.1%, observed 50% (n=2)90–100%: predicted 93.6%, observed 100% (n=2)
Each dot: fixtures the model priced in that band — on the dashed line = perfectly calibrated. Dot size = sample. 156 samples from settled scanned fixtures.
Model prob bandSamplesPredictedObservedGap
0–10%11 4.2%27.3% +23.1pt
10–20%15 16.3%20% +3.7pt
20–30%51 26.8%27.5% +0.7pt
30–40%40 33.7%35% +1.3pt
40–50%23 45.5%39.1% -6.4pt
50–60%4 58.4%50% -8.4pt
60–70%5 65.5%60% -5.5pt
70–80%3 78.5%33.3% -45.2pt
80–90%2 83.1%50% -33.1pt
90–100%2 93.6%100% +6.4pt

CLV distribution — every graded flag

-12% to -10%: 1-8% to -6%: 1-6% to -4%: 2-4% to -2%: 5-2% to 0%: 130% to 2%: 202% to 4%: 94% to 6%: 16% to 8%: 1 -12% 0% +8%
Mass to the right of the dashed zero line = flags that beat the close. The shape matters more than any single bar — a young sample is wide by nature.
Data from the engine snapshot · updated just now · all prices are real captured bookmaker odds, timestamped.
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SharpFooty Research is a sports analytics & research product, for education and entertainment. Nothing on this site is betting or financial advice, and no outcome is ever certain. Our live sample is young — that is why we publish every call with its timestamp and grade it against the closing line, and why we lead with process metrics rather than profit claims. 18+  ·  Please gamble responsibly  ·  BeGambleAware.org
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