A

Aberdeen

Premiership - Scotland·Pittodrie Stadium

Next match Motherwell v Aberdeen Tue 15 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Aberdeen — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.5%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

5

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Tue 15 Sept19:45 Motherwell A — 4.00William Hill —

Form

last 5

DLLLW 4 pts from 5

H Kilmarnock 0–0 -0.6

A Celtic 0–3 -1.1

H Rangers 0–1 —

A Dundee 0–2 —

H Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 —

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (2 priced) Ahead Behind

+1.3 points against the model's expectation over the 2 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals scored 0.4 #12 of 12

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.4 #12 of 12

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.4 #8 of 12

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 1 #8 of 12

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

No goal detail stored

the minute-level event feed has not been collected for this club's fixtures

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

PS Premiership - Scotland 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No league table for this tie Premiership - Scotland is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 15 Sept19:45in 4d
   Motherwell Aberdeen

   PS
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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