C

Celtic

Premiership - Scotland·Celtic Park

Next match Celtic v Dundee United Wed 28 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Celtic — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

69.5

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

10th

of 12 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Wed 28 Oct19:45 Dundee United H — 1.29Betfair Exchange — Sun 1 Nov13:00 Falkirk F.C. A — 1.40Virgin Bet — Thu 5 Nov20:00 Besiktas JK H — 2.90Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

WWWLWW 15 pts from 6

A Hibernian 2–1 +2.1

H Heart Of Midlothian 7–1 +1.3

A Motherwell 2–0 +1.8

H Rangers 0–1 -1.6

A ST Johnstone 1–0 +1.8

A ST Mirren 2–1 +1.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (7 priced) Ahead Behind

+17.7 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 2.5 #1 of 12

Goals conceded 0.6 #1 of 12

Points over model expectation 17.7 #1 of 12

Clean sheets 4 #2 of 12

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.5 #1 of 12

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.6 #1 of 12

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 4 #2 of 12

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

61%

Scored before half time

of 18 goals

6%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 18 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 18 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (24 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

PS Premiership - Scotland 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct19:45in 40h 01m
   Celtic Dundee United

   PS

   Regular Season - 11
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov13:00in 5d
   Falkirk F.C. Celtic

   PS
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Thu 5 Nov20:00in 10d
   Celtic Besiktas JK

   UEL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

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