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UEFA Europa League

World76 teamsRecords from 2022League Stage - 4CupUEL
Next match NEC Nijmegen v Omonoia Thu 5 Nov, 17:45

3 UEFA Europa League fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

3 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
96.5%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
+6.3%
3 settled
Fixtures Analysed
134
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 2 months 40% SepOct
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 930 stored fixtures — 2 months carry a model sample, 2 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
1 Benfica Lech Poznań Lech Poznań1X2 13.00 → 16.00 +23.1%Drifting 2 AZ Alkmaar Juventus AZ Alkmaar1X2 3.40 → 3.80 +11.8%Drifting 3 Sunderland Dinamo Zagreb Sunderland1X2 1.40 → 1.50 +7.1%Drifting 4 Torreense FC Ararat-Armenia Torreense1X2 1.70 → 1.80 +5.9%Drifting 5 Celtic Besiktas JK Besiktas JK1X2 2.25 → 2.38 +5.8%Drifting
View all fixtures →

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.87
▼ -0.2
Goals per match
over 134 match · vs all competitions
14.08
▲ +0.5
Shots per team
over 124 team per match · vs all competitions
4.81
– +0.0
On target per team
over 194 team per match · vs all competitions
1.53
▼ 0.0
xG per team
over 90 team per match · vs all competitions
60.4%
▲ +2.7%
Over 2.5 goals
over 134 match · vs all competitions
46.3%
▼ -8.5%
Both teams score
over 134 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend60.4% of the 134 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 48.5% of the 134 finished fixtures stored here, and 19.4% were drawn.
3
Upcoming
on the snapshot
3.75
Goals / match
last 12 results
50%
BTTS
6 of 12
92%
Over 2.5
11 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Thu 5 Nov17:45in 8d
    NEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen Omonoia FC crestOmonoia
    League Stage - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Thu 5 Nov17:45in 8d
    Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace TSG Hoffenheim crestTSG Hoffenheim
    League Stage - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Thu 5 Nov17:45in 8d
    PFC Levski Sofia crestPFC Levski Sofia Jagiellonia Białystok crestJagiellonia Białystok
    League Stage - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No league table for this tie UEFA Europa League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.

Season leaders (stored)

Top scorers

  1. 1 L. Diony 4
    Omonia Nicosia
  2. 2 A. Cissè 3
    AC Milan
  3. 3 Yeremy Pino 3
    Crystal Palace
  4. 4 Sergio Gómez 3
    Real Sociedad
  5. 5 K. Zachariassen 3
    Ferencvarosi TC

Most assists

  1. 1 J. Olaitan 3
    Beşiktaş
  2. 2 Ewandro 3
    Omonia Nicosia
  3. 3 Mikel Oyarzabal 3
    Real Sociedad
  4. 4 K. Zachariassen 2
    Ferencvarosi TC
  5. 5 B. Yusuf 2
    Ferencvarosi TC

Most carded

  1. 1 A. Osváth 4
    Ferencvarosi TC
  2. 2 Bruno Jordão 4
    CSKA Sofia
  3. 3 S. Sensi 4
    CSKA Sofia
  4. 4 R. Murawski 4
    Lech Poznan
  5. 5 B. Yusuf 3
    Ferencvarosi TC

Teams this season (6)

Crystal Palace crestCrystal PalaceJagiellonia Białystok crestJagiellonia BiałystokNEC Nijmegen crestNEC NijmegenOmonoia FC crestOmonoiaPFC Levski Sofia crestPFC Levski SofiaTSG Hoffenheim crestTSG Hoffenheim

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-10-22 FC Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar to Win 1.44 → 1.43 +0.7% ✓ WIN
2026-10-22 Bournemouth v AC Milan Over 2.5 Goals 1.75 → 1.75 0% ✓ WIN
2026-09-17 Lillestrom v Torreense Lillestrom to Win 1.66 → 1.86 -10.8% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 12 h ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which UEFA Europa League fixtures are coming up?
3 UEFA Europa League fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with NEC Nijmegen v Omonoia FC on Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 UK time.