Crystal Palace v TSG Hoffenheim — UEFA Europa League prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Crystal PalacevTSG Hoffenheim
Thu 5 Nov, 17:45Crystal Palace1.92Betfair
Draw4.00Betfred (UK)
TSG Hoffenheim3.75888sport
Best captured price per outcome · 11 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Selhurst Park, LondonKickoff weather: 8.2°C · rain 0 mm · wind 6 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LDDLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.67 / 1.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Newcastle (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | at Beşiktaş (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-22 | at Besiktas JK (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | at Brighton (A) | 0-5 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | at Lyon (A) | 2-3 | L |
WWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.42 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Bayer Leverkusen (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Bayer Leverkusen (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs FSV Mainz 05 (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Lyon (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Lyon (H) | 3-0 | W |
Competition context
A league table does not apply to a cup tie, so none is shown.
| Round | League Stage - 4 |
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
No prior meetings in the archive
The engine's results archive holds no completed fixture between these two sides.
Team form and league position are on the Teams tab; the model does not use head-to-head as an input.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Crystal Palacesnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| J. Lerma | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| T. Tomiyasu | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| B. Chilwell | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| C. Doucoure | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| D. Henderson | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| J. Mateta | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| Q. Timber | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Guessand | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| C. Riad | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Z. Gozo | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| J. Lerma | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| T. Tomiyasu | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| B. Chilwell | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| C. Doucoure | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| D. Henderson | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
TSG Hoffenheimsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| P. Wimmer | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Hajdari | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| N. De Cat | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Engelns | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| P. Wimmer | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Hajdari | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| N. De Cat | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Engelns | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| P. Wimmer | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Hajdari | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| L. Engelns | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| P. Wimmer | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Hajdari | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| L. Engelns | Missing Fixture | Off the roster |
| P. Wimmer | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 24 Oct, 07:06 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
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Frequently asked questions
When do Crystal Palace play TSG Hoffenheim?
Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 UK time in the UEFA Europa League.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.