Crystal Palace

EPL13 of 20 in the table3 pointsSelhurst Park

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Crystal Palace — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held
Model Strength
72
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.9%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition
Fixtures Analysed
3
Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Form

last 3
WLL 3 pts from 3
A Fulham 3–2 +1.9
H Manchester City 1–4
A Everton 0–2 -0.9
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 3 matches 0 2 3
+1.1 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Shots on target 3.3 #14 of 20
Clean sheets 0 #16 of 20
Shots 10 #17 of 20
Possession 40.3% #18 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.33 #10 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots 10 #17 of 20
On target 3.3 #14 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2.67 #19 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced 19.7 #19 of 20
Clean sheets 0 #16 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
33%
Scored before half time
of 3 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 3 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 3 goals
11%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 9 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (12 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
EPL EPL 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table
#13
Position
3
Points from 3 played
-4
Goal difference
#TeamPlGDPts
11 Manchester United 314
12 Sunderland 304
13 Crystal Palace 3-43
14 Ipswich 3-43
15 Bournemouth 3-12
Crystal Palace and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.
Home ground: Selhurst Park gazetteer
Recorded form WWLLLW last 12: 1.5 scored / 1.83 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 17% (40 results held)
H Middlesbrough 3-0 W · A Fulham 3-2 W · H Manchester City 1-4 L · A Everton 0-2 L · A SC Freiburg 0-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 26m
    not modelled
    model building
  2. Thu 17 Sept20:00in 6d
    not modelled
    model building

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

PWDL
Home1001
Away2101
Total3102
4 (1.3/game)
Goals scored
8 (2.7/game)
Goals conceded
0
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0 / 0
Pens scored / missed
Season form LLW

Squad (stored · 2026 · 31 players)

PlayerAgeNo.
Goalkeepers (3)
D. Henderson281
R. Matthews3131
W. Benítez3244
Defenders (11)
T. Mitchell263
C. Riad224
A. Disasi275
G. King185
J. Canvot196
D. Benamar177
T. Tomiyasu2717
H. Ahanor1721
A. Khalaili2125
C. Richards2526
B. Chilwell2933
Midfielders (10)
J. Lerma318
J. Drakes-Thomas1610
Yeremy Pino2310
D. Kamada2918
W. Hughes3019
A. Wharton2120
Q. Timber2423
D. Osorio2124
C. Doucouré2528
Óscar Mingueza2630
Forwards (7)
I. Sarr277
E. Nketiah269
D. McNeil2611
Z. Gozo1812
J. Mateta2814
J. Strand Larsen2522
E. Guessand2429

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT Matheus França to Alverca Loan 2026-09-03
IN B. Chilwell from Strasbourg Free agent 2026-08-31
OUT B. Sosa to 1. FC Köln Loan 2026-08-31
IN Q. Timber from Marseille Transfer 2026-08-31
OUT J. Devenny to Stoke City Transfer 2026-08-31
OUT D. Ozoh to Derby Transfer 2026-08-31
IN D. Osorio from FC Midtjylland Loan 2026-08-31
OUT R. Esse to Millwall Loan 2026-08-31
IN H. Ahanor from Atalanta Loan 2026-08-31
IN B. Chilwell from Strasbourg Free agent 2026-08-30

League position (stored standings)

13th with 3 points from 3 played · goal difference -4 · up 5 places since 4 Sept (was 18th)
From recorded standings snapshots — observations, not projections.
Team data: fresh · collected 4 min ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-08 Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough Over 2.5 Goals 1.60 → 1.65 -3% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

EPLUEFA Europa League Next: Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town Search Crystal Palace matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Crystal Palace play next?
Crystal Palace's next fixture in the snapshot is Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time (EPL).