CP

Crystal Palace

EPL·16 of 20 in the table·7 points·Selhurst Park

Next match Fulham v Crystal Palace Wed 28 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Crystal Palace — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

74

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

15th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Wed 28 Oct19:45 Fulham A — 4.10Betfair Exchange — Sat 31 Oct17:30 Tottenham Hotspur A — 6.00Betfred — Thu 5 Nov17:45 TSG Hoffenheim H — 1.92Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

LLWDLW 7 pts from 6

H Newcastle 0–2 -1.4

A Brighton 0–5 -0.9

H Nottingham Forest 3–1 +1.4

A Leeds 0–0 +0.1

H Ipswich 2–3 -1.8

A Fulham 3–2 +1.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.5 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Expected goals against 1.72 #15 of 20

Shots on target 3.8 #15 of 20

Points over model expectation -1.5 #15 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #16 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.13 #12 of 20

Expected goals 1.5 #10 of 20

Shots 11 #17 of 20

On target 3.8 #15 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.38 #20 of 20

Expected against 1.72 #15 of 20

Shots faced 16.9 #18 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #16 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

56%

Scored before half time

of 9 goals

22%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 9 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 9 goals

16%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 19 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (28 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#16

Position

7

Points from 7 played

-8

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
14	Newcastle	7	-4	8
15	Manchester United	7	0	7
16	Crystal Palace	7	-8	7
17	Bournemouth	7	-4	6
18	Nottingham Forest	8	-4	6

Crystal Palace and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct19:45in 41h 16m
   Fulham Crystal Palace

   EFL

   Round of 16
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct17:30in 5d
   Tottenham Hotspur Crystal Palace

   EPL

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Thu 5 Nov17:45in 10d
   Crystal Palace TSG Hoffenheim

   UEL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 36 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (4)
DD. Henderson	28	1
RR. Matthews	31	31
WW. Benítez	32	44
LL. Benetton	15	81
Defenders (11)
GG. King	18	3
CC. Riad	22	4
AA. Disasi	27	5
JJ. Canvot	19	6
JJ. Lerma	31	8
TT. Tomiyasu	27	17
HH. Ahanor	17	21
AA. Khalaili	21	25
CC. Richards	25	26
BB. Chilwell	29	33
DD. Benamar	17	54
Midfielders (14)
TT. Mitchell	26	3
II. Sarr	27	7
YYeremy Pino	23	10
JJ. Drakes-Thomas	16	14
DD. Kamada	29	18
WW. Hughes	30	19
AA. Wharton	21	20
QQ. Timber	24	23
DD. Osorio	21	24
CC. Doucouré	25	28
ÓÓscar Mingueza	26	30
CC. Kporha	19	38
SS. Williams	18	43
CC. Okoli	18	58
Forwards (7)
EE. Nketiah	26	9
DD. McNeil	26	11
ZZ. Gozo	18	12
JJ. Mateta	28	14
JJ. Strand Larsen	25	22
EE. Guessand	24	29
AAdler Nascimento	21	47

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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