Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Crystal Palace — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
2 Upcoming3 Results held
Model Strength
72
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.9%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition
Fixtures Analysed
3
Held
Next fixtures
2 pricedForm
last 3WLL
3 pts from 3
A
Fulham
3–2
+1.9
H
Manchester City
1–4
—
A
Everton
0–2
-0.9
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (3 matches)
Model expected (3 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+1.1 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Shots on target
3.3
#14 of 20
Clean sheets
0
#16 of 20
Shots
10
#17 of 20
Possession
40.3%
#18 of 20
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.33
#10 of 20
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
10
#17 of 20
On target
3.3
#14 of 20
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
2.67
#19 of 20
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
19.7
#19 of 20
Clean sheets
0
#16 of 20
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed33%
Scored before half time
of 3 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 3 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 3 goals
11%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 9 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures
(12 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
#13
Position
3
Points from 3 played
-4
Goal difference
| # | Team | Pl | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Crystal Palace and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.
Home ground: Selhurst Park gazetteer
Recorded form
WWLLLW
last 12: 1.5 scored / 1.83 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 17% (40 results held)
H Middlesbrough 3-0 W · A Fulham 3-2 W · H Manchester City 1-4 L · A Everton 0-2 L · A SC Freiburg 0-3 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 26mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Thu 17 Sept20:00in 6dnot modelledmodel building—
Season statistics (stored · 2026)
| P | W | D | L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Away | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Total | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
4 (1.3/game)
Goals scored
8 (2.7/game)
Goals conceded
0
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0 / 0
Pens scored / missed
Season form
LLW
Squad (stored · 2026 · 31 players)
| Player | Age | No. |
|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers (3) | ||
| 28 | 1 | |
| 31 | 31 | |
| 32 | 44 | |
| Defenders (11) | ||
| 26 | 3 | |
| 22 | 4 | |
| 27 | 5 | |
| 18 | 5 | |
| 19 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | |
| 27 | 17 | |
| 17 | 21 | |
| 21 | 25 | |
| 25 | 26 | |
| 29 | 33 | |
| Midfielders (10) | ||
| 31 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | |
| 23 | 10 | |
| 29 | 18 | |
| 30 | 19 | |
| 21 | 20 | |
| 24 | 23 | |
| 21 | 24 | |
| 25 | 28 | |
| 26 | 30 | |
| Forwards (7) | ||
| 27 | 7 | |
| 26 | 9 | |
| 26 | 11 | |
| 18 | 12 | |
| 28 | 14 | |
| 25 | 22 | |
| 24 | 29 | |
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | Matheus França | to Alverca | Loan | 2026-09-03 |
| IN | B. Chilwell | from Strasbourg | Free agent | 2026-08-31 |
| OUT | B. Sosa | to 1. FC Köln | Loan | 2026-08-31 |
| IN | Q. Timber | from Marseille | Transfer | 2026-08-31 |
| OUT | J. Devenny | to Stoke City | Transfer | 2026-08-31 |
| OUT | D. Ozoh | to Derby | Transfer | 2026-08-31 |
| IN | D. Osorio | from FC Midtjylland | Loan | 2026-08-31 |
| OUT | R. Esse | to Millwall | Loan | 2026-08-31 |
| IN | H. Ahanor | from Atalanta | Loan | 2026-08-31 |
| IN | B. Chilwell | from Strasbourg | Free agent | 2026-08-30 |
League position (stored standings)
13th with 3 points from 3 played · goal difference -4 · up 5 places since 4 Sept (was 18th)
From recorded standings snapshots — observations, not projections.
Team data: fresh · collected 4 min ago
Graded calls — from the public ledger
| Posted | Match | Selection | Posted → close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.60 → 1.65 | -3% | ✓ WIN |
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
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Next: Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town
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When do Crystal Palace play next?
Crystal Palace's next fixture in the snapshot is Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time (EPL).
