11 League Cup fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.
11 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
96.9%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
+12.5%
6 settled
Fixtures Analysed
76
Held
Next fixtures
6 pricedModel prob.
Best oddsEdge
Tue 27 Oct19:45
Model vs market
by month
Model win %
Market implied %
Mean model and devigged market probability
on the home win, by month, over 2291 stored fixtures —
5 months carry a model sample, 5 a complete three-way price.
A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.
Market movers
recorded moves
1
Sunderland
Brentford
Sunderland1X2
2.70 → 3.90
+44.4%Drifting
2
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace1X2
3.10 → 4.10
+32.3%Drifting
3
Bradford City
Peterborough United
Peterborough United1X2
4.00 → 5.00
+25.0%Drifting
4
Fleetwood Town
Arsenal
Fleetwood Town1X2
26.00 → 30.00
+15.4%Drifting
5
Everton
Newcastle United
Newcastle United1X2
2.80 → 3.20
+14.3%Drifting
Key league stats
per game · 2026/273.09
– +0.0
Goals per match
over 76 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 76 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 76 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 76 finished fixtures
56.6%
▼ -1.1%
Over 2.5 goals
over 76 match · vs all competitions
55.3%
▲ +0.5%
Both teams score
over 76 match · vs all competitions
Model vs market
this competitionNot enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
Top teams
model edgeNo club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
Latest insights
from the stored data
Goals trend56.6% of the 76 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 39.5% of the 76 finished fixtures stored here, and 17.1% were drawn.
11
Upcoming
on the snapshot
4.17
Goals / match
last 12 results
67%
BTTS
8 of 12
75%
Over 2.5
9 of 12
Upcoming fixtures
Upcoming season fixtures
-
Tue 27 Oct19:45in 20h 17m
Bradford City
Peterborough United
Round of 16not modelledmodel building— -
Tue 27 Oct20:00in 20h 32m
Fleetwood Town
Arsenal
Round of 16not modelledmodel building— -
Wed 28 Oct15:00in 39h 32mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Wed 28 Oct15:00in 39h 32mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Wed 28 Oct15:00in 39h 32mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Wed 28 Oct19:30in 44h 02m
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Round of 16not modelledmodel building—
League table
No league table for this tie
EFL Cup is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
All upcoming fixtures (11)
-
Tue 27 Oct19:45in 20h 17m
Bradford City
Peterborough United
Round of 16not modelledmodel building— -
Tue 27 Oct20:00in 20h 32m
Fleetwood Town
Arsenal
Round of 16not modelledmodel building— -
Wed 28 Oct15:00in 39h 32mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Wed 28 Oct15:00in 39h 32mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Wed 28 Oct15:00in 39h 32mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Wed 28 Oct19:30in 44h 02m
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Round of 16not modelledmodel building— -
Wed 28 Oct19:45in 44h 17m
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Round of 16not modelledmodel building— -
Wed 28 Oct19:45in 44h 17m
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Round of 16not modelledmodel building— -
Wed 28 Oct19:45in 44h 17m
Sunderland
Brentford
Round of 16not modelledmodel building— -
Wed 28 Oct20:00in 44h 32m
Liverpool
Chelsea
Round of 16not modelledmodel building— -
Thu 29 Oct19:45in 3d
Everton
Newcastle United
Round of 16not modelledmodel building—
Teams this season (16)
League data: fresh · collected 4 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
Which EFL Cup fixtures are coming up?
11 EFL Cup fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Bradford City v Peterborough United on Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
