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League Cup

England92 teamsRound of 32CupEFL Cup
Next match Peterborough United v Barnsley Tue 15 Sept, 19:45

11 League Cup fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

11 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
96.2%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
+0.0%
5 settled
Fixtures Analysed
66
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 4 months 30% 40% JunJulAugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 1933 stored fixtures — 4 months carry a model sample, 4 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
1 Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town Arsenal crestArsenal Ipswich Town1X2 6.50 → 7.50 +15.4%Drifting 2 Peterborough United crestPeterborough United Barnsley crestBarnsley Barnsley1X2 2.85 → 3.20 +12.3%Drifting 3 Liverpool crestLiverpool Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur Liverpool1X2 1.72 → 1.90 +10.5%Drifting 4 West Ham United crestWest Ham United Fulham crestFulham Fulham1X2 2.33 → 2.15 -7.7%Shortening 5 Reading crestReading Brentford crestBrentford Draw1X2 5.50 → 5.90 +7.3%Drifting
View all fixtures →

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.95
▼ -0.2
Goals per match
over 66 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 66 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 66 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 66 finished fixtures
53%
▼ -5.3%
Over 2.5 goals
over 66 match · vs all competitions
53%
▼ -1.6%
Both teams score
over 66 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend53% of the 66 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 39.4% of the 66 finished fixtures stored here, and 18.2% were drawn.
11
Upcoming
on the snapshot
3.50
Goals / match
last 12 results
33%
BTTS
4 of 12
67%
Over 2.5
8 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
View all →
  1. Tue 15 Sept19:45in 4d
    Peterborough United crestPeterborough United Barnsley crestBarnsley
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Tue 15 Sept19:45in 4d
    West Ham United crestWest Ham United Fulham crestFulham
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Reading crestReading Brentford crestBrentford
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Liverpool crestLiverpool Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town Arsenal crestArsenal
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Ipswich crestIpswich Arsenal crestArsenal
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No league table for this tie EFL Cup is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.

All upcoming fixtures (11)

  1. Tue 15 Sept19:45in 4d
    Peterborough United crestPeterborough United Barnsley crestBarnsley
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Tue 15 Sept19:45in 4d
    West Ham United crestWest Ham United Fulham crestFulham
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Reading crestReading Brentford crestBrentford
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Liverpool crestLiverpool Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town Arsenal crestArsenal
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Ipswich crestIpswich Arsenal crestArsenal
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  7. Wed 16 Sept19:45in 5d
    Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town Sheffield United crestSheffield United
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  8. Wed 16 Sept19:45in 5d
    Everton crestEverton Wolverhampton Wanderers crestWolverhampton Wanderers
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  9. Wed 16 Sept20:00in 5d
    Manchester United crestManchester United Brighton and Hove Albion crestBrighton and Hove Albion
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  10. Wed 16 Sept20:00in 5d
    Coventry City crestCoventry City Aston Villa crestAston Villa
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  11. Thu 17 Sept19:30in 6d
    Manchester City crestManchester City Norwich City crestNorwich City
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Teams this season (21)

Arsenal crestArsenalAston Villa crestAston VillaBarnsley crestBarnsleyBrentford crestBrentfordBrighton and Hove Albion crestBrighton and Hove AlbionCoventry City crestCoventry CityEverton crestEvertonFleetwood Town crestFleetwood TownFulham crestFulhamIpswich crestIpswichIpswich Town crestIpswich TownLiverpool crestLiverpoolManchester City crestManchester CityManchester United crestManchester UnitedNorwich City crestNorwich CityPeterborough United crestPeterborough UnitedReading crestReadingSheffield United crestSheffield UnitedTottenham Hotspur crestTottenham HotspurWest Ham United crestWest Ham UnitedWolverhampton Wanderers crestWolverhampton Wanderers

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-09 Chelsea v Leeds United Chelsea to Win 1.61 → 1.95 -17.4% ✓ WIN
2026-09-08 Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough Over 2.5 Goals 1.60 → 1.65 -3% ✓ WIN
2026-09-08 Sunderland v Hull City Sunderland to Win 1.79 → 1.82 -1.6% ✓ WIN
2026-08-06 Bristol City v Walsall Over 2.5 Goals 1.62 → 1.55 +4.5% ✕ LOSS
2026-08-03 York City v Crawley Town York City to Win 1.70 → 1.72 -1.2% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 15 h ago

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Frequently asked questions

Which EFL Cup fixtures are coming up?
11 EFL Cup fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Peterborough United v Barnsley on Tue 15 Sept, 19:45 UK time.