F

Fulham

EPL·13 of 20 in the table·8 points·Craven Cottage

Next match Fulham v Crystal Palace Wed 28 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Fulham — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

69

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

16th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct19:45 Crystal Palace H — 1.95Betfair — Sat 31 Oct20:00 Aston Villa A — 3.85Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

WWLDDL 8 pts from 6

A Coventry 1–0 +1.9

H Hull City 1–0 +1.1

A Ipswich 1–2 -1.2

H Manchester United 1–1 +0.1

A Liverpool 0–0 +0.5

H Crystal Palace 2–3 -1.6

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.3 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Possession 58% #5 of 20

Expected goals against 1.19 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1 #17 of 20

Expected goals 1.24 #13 of 20

Shots 14.1 #9 of 20

On target 4.5 #8 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.25 #11 of 20

Expected against 1.19 #7 of 20

Shots faced 14 #11 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #9 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

57%

Scored before half time

of 7 goals

14%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 7 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 7 goals

45%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 11 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (18 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#13

Position

8

Points from 8 played

-2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
11	Hull City	7	1	9
12	Tottenham	8	-2	9
13	Fulham	8	-2	8
14	Newcastle	7	-4	8
15	Manchester United	7	0	7

Fulham and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct19:45in 40h 01m
   Fulham Crystal Palace

   EFL

   Round of 16
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct20:00in 5d
   Aston Villa Fulham

   EPL

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 30 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (2)
BB. Leno	33	1
BB. Lecomte	34	23
Defenders (10)
KK. Tete	30	2
BB. Slade	2025	3
CC. Bassey	26	3
JJorge Cuenca	26	4
SS. Amissah	18	4
JJ. Andersen	29	5
TT. Castagne	30	21
DD. Affengruber	24	22
AA. Robinson	28	33
LL. De Fougerolles	20	44
Midfielders (13)
HH. Reed	30	6
CCésar Palacios	21	8
TT. Cairney	34	10
OOscar Bobb	22	14
HH. Larsson	21	15
SS. Berge	27	16
AA. Iwobi	29	17
SS. Charles	22	19
MManuel Ángel	21	20
JJoshua King	18	24
RR. Sessegnon	25	30
EE. Smith Rowe	25	32
CC. Nwoko	20	34
Forwards (5)
GGonzalo García	21	7
RRodrigo Muniz	24	9
KKevin	22	11
MM. Zepa	17	14
JJ. Kusi-Asare	18	18

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

Explore