HC

Hull City

EPL·11 of 20 in the table·9 points·MKM Stadium

Next match Hull City v Ipswich Town Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Hull City — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

18th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct15:00 Ipswich Town H — 2.74Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

DLDLDD 4 pts from 6

H Brentford 1–1 -0.1

A Fulham 0–1 -0.8

H Everton 2–2 -0.1

A Newcastle 1–2 -0.6

A Chelsea 2–2 +0.7

H Aston Villa 0–0 -0.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+3.2 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 1 #4 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #4 of 20

Points over model expectation 3.2 #4 of 20

Weaknesses

Expected goals for 1.12 #14 of 20

Expected goals against 1.73 #16 of 20

Shots on target 3.3 #18 of 20

Shots 10.6 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.13 #11 of 20

Expected goals 1.12 #14 of 20

Shots 10.6 #19 of 20

On target 3.3 #18 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #4 of 20

Expected against 1.73 #16 of 20

Shots faced 14.5 #13 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #4 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

56%

Scored before half time

of 9 goals

11%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 9 goals

11%

From the penalty spot

of 9 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (18 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#11

Position

9

Points from 7 played

+1

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
9	Everton	8	-1	10
10	Ipswich	8	-4	10
11	Hull City	7	1	9
12	Tottenham	8	-2	9
13	Fulham	8	-2	8

Hull City and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 3d
   Hull City Ipswich Town

   EPL

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 36 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (4)
JJ. Butland	32	1
DD. Phillips	30	12
KK. Tzolakis	23	19
AArchie Howard	19	55
Defenders (11)
LL. Coyle	30	2
RR. Giles	25	3
CC. Hughes	22	4
SS. Ajayi	32	6
JJ. Egan	33	15
SS. Ashbee	19	15
PP. McNair	30	17
BB. Norton-Cuffy	21	18
LL. Herrington	18	22
MM. Targett	30	23
NN. Mendy	21	32
Midfielders (15)
HH. Morita	31	5
SS. Thomas	26	7
EE. Matazo	23	8
MM. Belloumi	24	10
JJ. Hjertø-Dahl	20	14
ÓÓscar Steven Zambrano Preciado	21	20
EE. Stroud	23	21
DD. Gyabi	21	24
MM. Crooks	31	25
KK. Dowell	28	26
RR. Slater	26	27
LL. Gourna-Douath	22	29
AA. Ömür	26	33
CC. Mouzakitis	19	36
TT. Iroegbunam	22	42
Forwards (6)
OO. McBurnie	29	9
IIlyas Ansah	21	10
JJ. Gelhardt	23	11
DD. Daley	18	16
RR. Vaz	18	47
MM. Cho	21	50

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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