HC

Hull City

EPL·3 of 20 in the table·7 points·MKM Stadium

Next match Chelsea v Hull City Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Hull City — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept15:00 Chelsea A — 14.50Betfair Exchange — Sat 19 Sept15:00 Newcastle United A — 6.50Betfred —

Form

last 3

DWW 7 pts from 3

H Aston Villa 0–0 -0.2

A Coventry 1–0 —

H Manchester United 2–0 +1.3

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.1 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0 #1 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #1 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1 #14 of 20

Shots faced 15 #15 of 20

Shots 8.3 #20 of 20

Possession 29% #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1 #14 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 8.3 #20 of 20

On target 3.3 #13 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0 #1 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 15 #15 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #1 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

67%

Scored before half time

of 3 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 3 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 3 goals

—

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 0 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (3 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#3

Position

7

Points from 3 played

+3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	3	5	9
2	Arsenal	3	5	9
3	Hull City	3	3	7
4	Chelsea	3	1	6
5	Brentford	3	3	5

Hull City and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 26m
   Chelsea Hull City

   EPL

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 19 Sept15:00in 8d
   Newcastle United Hull City

   EPL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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