E

Everton

EPL·8 of 20 in the table·5 points·Hill Dickinson Stadium

Next match Tottenham Hotspur v Everton Sat 12 Sept, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Everton — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

64

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.9%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

4th

of 9 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Sat 12 Sept17:30 Tottenham Hotspur A — 3.75Betfair Exchange — Wed 16 Sept19:45 Wolverhampton Wanderers H — 1.65Coral — Sat 19 Sept15:00 Ipswich Town H — 1.83William Hill —

Form

last 3

DDW 5 pts from 3

H Manchester United 2–2 -0.1

A Bournemouth 1–1 -0.3

H Crystal Palace 2–0 +1.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+0.8 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots on target 6 #3 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #3 of 20

Goals conceded 1 #6 of 20

Shots 15.7 #7 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.67 #8 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 15.7 #7 of 20

On target 6 #3 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #6 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 14 #13 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #3 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

20%

Scored before half time

of 5 goals

60%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 5 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 5 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (8 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#8

Position

5

Points from 3 played

+2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
6	Liverpool	3	2	5
7	Newcastle	3	2	5
8	Everton	3	2	5
9	Leeds	3	1	5
10	Brighton	3	3	4

Everton and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept17:30in 21h 56m
   Tottenham Hotspur Everton

   EPL

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 16 Sept19:45in 5d
   Everton Wolverhampton Wanderers

   EFL

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Sat 19 Sept15:00in 8d
   Everton Ipswich Town

   EPL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 27 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (3)
JJ. Pickford	31	1
MM. Travers	26	12
TT. King	30	31
Defenders (9)
JJ. Branthwaite	23	4
WW. Tamen	19	4
EElijah Xavier Campbell	21	5
MM. Keane	32	5
JJ. Tarkowski	33	6
JJ. O'Brien	24	15
GG. Finney	18	16
VV. Mykolenko	26	16
MM. Röhl	23	34
Midfielders (12)
AA. Maitland-Niles	28	2
HH. Foster	18	6
KK. Dewsbury-Hall	27	8
JJ. Grealish	30	10
MMalik Olayiwola	16	14
TTyrique George	19	19
BB. Johnson	24	22
CC. Nørgaard	31	23
CC. Alcaraz	23	24
HH. Hackney	23	30
JJ. Garner	24	37
HH. Armstrong	18	45
Forwards (3)
TT. Barry	23	11
TT. Dibling	19	20
BB. Graham	18	58

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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