E

Everton

EPL·9 of 20 in the table·10 points·Hill Dickinson Stadium

Next match Everton v Newcastle United Wed 28 Oct, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Everton — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

67.3

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.1%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

10th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Wed 28 Oct15:00 Newcastle United H — 2.30Sky Bet — Thu 29 Oct19:45 Newcastle United H — 2.30Casumo — Mon 2 Nov20:00 Newcastle United A — 3.15Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

LLDWDD 6 pts from 6

A Arsenal 0–2 -0.6

H Chelsea 0–2 -1.1

A Hull City 2–2 -0.6

H Ipswich 1–0 +1.0

A Tottenham 0–0 +0.1

H Manchester United 2–2 -0.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.4 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 3 #5 of 20

Goals conceded 1.13 #6 of 20

Shots on target 4.8 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Expected goals against 1.69 #14 of 20

Shots faced 14.5 #14 of 20

Goals scored 1 #15 of 20

Expected goals for 0.98 #15 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1 #15 of 20

Expected goals 0.98 #15 of 20

Shots 13.6 #10 of 20

On target 4.8 #7 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.13 #6 of 20

Expected against 1.69 #14 of 20

Shots faced 14.5 #14 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #5 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

25%

Scored before half time

of 8 goals

38%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 8 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 8 goals

22%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (17 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#9

Position

10

Points from 8 played

-1

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
7	Brentford	7	5	10
8	Leeds	7	3	10
9	Everton	8	-1	10
10	Ipswich	8	-4	10
11	Hull City	7	1	9

Everton and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct15:00in 39h 17m
   Everton Newcastle United

   EFL
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 29 Oct19:45in 3d
   Everton Newcastle United

   EFL

   Round of 16
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Mon 2 Nov20:00in 7d
   Newcastle United Everton

   EPL

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 27 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (3)
JJ. Pickford	31	1
MM. Travers	26	12
TT. King	30	31
Defenders (9)
GG. Finney	18	2
JJ. Branthwaite	23	4
WW. Tamen	19	4
EElijah Xavier Campbell	21	5
MM. Keane	32	5
JJ. Tarkowski	33	6
JJ. O'Brien	24	15
VV. Mykolenko	26	16
MM. Röhl	23	34
Midfielders (12)
AA. Maitland-Niles	28	2
HH. Foster	18	6
KK. Dewsbury-Hall	27	8
JJ. Grealish	30	10
MMalik Olayiwola	16	10
TTyrique George	19	19
BB. Johnson	24	22
CC. Nørgaard	31	23
CC. Alcaraz	23	24
HH. Hackney	23	30
JJ. Garner	24	37
HH. Armstrong	18	45
Forwards (3)
TT. Barry	23	11
TT. Dibling	19	20
BB. Graham	18	58

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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