B

Brentford

EPL·7 of 20 in the table·10 points·Gtech Community Stadium

Next match Sunderland v Brentford Wed 28 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Brentford — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

63.6

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

8th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct19:45 Sunderland A — 2.05Casumo — Sat 31 Oct15:00 Nottingham Forest H — 2.05William Hill —

Form

last 6

DLDWDD 7 pts from 6

A Hull City 1–1 -0.6

H Liverpool 1–2 -1.1

A Aston Villa 2–2 -0.1

H Chelsea 3–0 +1.8

A Bournemouth 2–2 -0.3

H Sunderland 1–1 -1.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.1 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 1.75 #4 of 20

Expected goals for 1.9 #4 of 20

Shots 14.9 #5 of 20

Goals conceded 1.13 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Possession 46.4% #14 of 20

Shots faced 15 #15 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.75 #4 of 20

Expected goals 1.9 #4 of 20

Shots 14.9 #5 of 20

On target 4.4 #10 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.13 #7 of 20

Expected against 1.46 #11 of 20

Shots faced 15 #15 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #11 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

40%

Scored before half time

of 15 goals

20%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 15 goals

7%

From the penalty spot

of 15 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (24 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#7

Position

10

Points from 7 played

+5

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
5	Liverpool	7	1	12
6	Aston Villa	8	-3	11
7	Brentford	7	5	10
8	Leeds	7	3	10
9	Everton	8	-1	10

Brentford and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct19:45in 41h 16m
   Sunderland Brentford

   EFL

   Round of 16
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
   Brentford Nottingham Forest

   EPL

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 31 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (4)
CC. Kelleher	27	1
HH. Valdimarsson	24	12
AA. Stokes	17	13
EE. Balcombe	26	31
Defenders (10)
AA. Hickey	23	2
OO. Shield	19	3
RR. Henry	28	3
SS. van den Berg	24	4
KK. Ajer	27	20
NN. Collins	24	22
KK. Lewis-Potter	24	23
EE. Diouf	21	25
MM. Kayode	21	33
BB. Fredrick	20	48
Midfielders (13)
YY. Yarmolyuk	21	6
KK. Schade	24	7
MM. Jensen	29	8
JJ. Dasilva	27	10
DD. Ouattara	23	11
FFábio Carvalho	23	14
MM. Sangaré	23	18
JJ. Anthony	26	19
MM. Damsgaard	25	24
VV. Janelt	27	27
JJannik Schuster	19	44
RR. Owen	20	53
LLuka Bentt	18	68
Forwards (4)
KKaye Iyowuna Furo	18	9
TThiago	24	9
GGustavo Gomes	20	11
CC. Wilson	33	13

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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