B

Brentford

EPL·5 of 20 in the table·5 points·Gtech Community Stadium

Next match Bournemouth v Brentford Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Brentford — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

81

Elite

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

2nd

of 9 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Sat 12 Sept15:00 Bournemouth A — 2.86Betfair Exchange — Tue 15 Sept20:00 Reading A — 1.33Ladbrokes — Fri 18 Sept20:00 Chelsea H — 2.84Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

DDW 5 pts from 3

H Sunderland 1–1 -1.0

A Leeds 1–1 -0.1

H Tottenham 3–0 +1.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+0.4 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots 20 #2 of 20

Goals conceded 0.67 #4 of 20

Shots faced 11.7 #7 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #7 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.67 #9 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 20 #2 of 20

On target 5 #8 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.67 #4 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 11.7 #7 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #7 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

17%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

100%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 2 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (8 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#5

Position

5

Points from 3 played

+3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
3	Hull City	3	3	7
4	Chelsea	3	1	6
5	Brentford	3	3	5
6	Liverpool	3	2	5
7	Newcastle	3	2	5

Brentford and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 26m
   Bournemouth Brentford

   EPL

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
   Reading Brentford

   EFL

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Fri 18 Sept20:00in 7d
   Brentford Chelsea

   EPL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Explore