L

Liverpool

EPL·6 of 20 in the table·5 points·Anfield

Next match Liverpool v Fulham Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Liverpool — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

76

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.5%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept15:00 Fulham H — 1.48Betfair Exchange — Tue 15 Sept20:00 Tottenham Hotspur H — 1.90Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

WDD 5 pts from 3

A Ipswich 2–0 +1.6

H Nottingham Forest 2–2 —

A Newcastle 2–2 -0.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.1 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots 16.7 #4 of 20

Shots on target 6 #4 of 20

Possession 61.7% #4 of 20

Goals scored 2 #7 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2 #7 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 16.7 #4 of 20

On target 6 #4 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.33 #10 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 13 #10 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #13 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

17%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 4 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (10 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#6

Position

5

Points from 3 played

+2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
4	Chelsea	3	1	6
5	Brentford	3	3	5
6	Liverpool	3	2	5
7	Newcastle	3	2	5
8	Everton	3	2	5

Liverpool and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 26m
   Liverpool Fulham

   EPL

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
   Liverpool Tottenham Hotspur

   EFL

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 32 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (4)
AAlisson Becker	33	1
HH. Davies	22	1
GG. Mamardashvili	25	25
FF. Woodman	28	28
Defenders (9)
JJ. Gomez	28	2
LL. Chambers	21	3
VV. van Dijk	34	4
JJ. Jacquet	20	5
TT. Ndiaye	17	5
MM. Kerkez	22	6
KK. Tsimikas	29	21
JJ. Frimpong	25	30
RR. Araújo	26	33
Midfielders (10)
WW. Endo	32	3
FF. Wirtz	22	7
DD. Szoboszlai	25	8
AA. Mac Allister	27	10
CC. Gakpo	26	18
HH. Elliott	22	19
VVíctor Muñoz	22	23
RR. Gravenberch	23	38
TT. Nyoni	18	42
JJ. McConnell	21	53
Forwards (9)
AA. Isak	26	9
WW. Wright	17	9
FF. Chiesa	28	14
JJ. Lambie	18	16
HH. Ekitike	23	22
JJoshua Abe	15	40
LL. Koumas	20	67
RR. Ngumoha	17	73
BB. Barcola	23	—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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