SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Premier League
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Premier League

England20 teamsRecords from 2022Regular Season - 4LeagueEPL
Next match Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

17 Premier League fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

17 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
99%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
Not enough data
only 1 settled call(s) are stored for this competition
Fixtures Analysed
30
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 4 months 42.5% 45% 47.5% JunJulAugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 875 stored fixtures — 4 months carry a model sample, 4 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
1 Aston Villa crestAston Villa Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest Aston Villa1X2 2.02 → 2.38 +17.8%Drifting 2 Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur Aston Villa crestAston Villa Aston Villa1X2 3.20 → 3.70 +15.6%Drifting 3 Manchester City Sunderland Sunderland1X2 11.00 → 12.50 +13.6%Drifting 4 Newcastle United crestNewcastle United Hull City crestHull City Hull City1X2 7.50 → 6.50 -13.3%Shortening 5 Chelsea crestChelsea Hull City crestHull City Hull City1X2 13.00 → 14.50 +11.5%Drifting
View all fixtures →

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.83
▼ -0.3
Goals per match
over 30 match · vs all competitions
13.68
▼ -0.3
Shots per team
over 60 team per match · vs all competitions
4.25
▼ -0.5
On target per team
over 60 team per match · vs all competitions
1.6
▲ +0.2
xG per team
over 32 team per match · vs all competitions
50%
▼ -8.3%
Over 2.5 goals
over 30 match · vs all competitions
53.3%
▼ -1.3%
Both teams score
over 30 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend50% of the 30 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 40% of the 30 finished fixtures stored here, and 33.3% were drawn.
17
Upcoming
on the snapshot
2.58
Goals / match
last 12 results
58%
BTTS
7 of 12
42%
Over 2.5
5 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
View all →
  1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Chelsea crestChelsea Hull City crestHull City
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Liverpool crestLiverpool Fulham crestFulham
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Aston Villa crestAston Villa Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Bournemouth crestBournemouth Brentford crestBrentford
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 12 Sept17:30in 22h 21m
    Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur Everton crestEverton
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

Season to date
About this table

stored standings · API-Football · observed 2026-09-07

View full table →
Premier League
Position#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsFormHome and away detail
1Manchester City crestManchester CityWWW330072+59WWW
2Arsenal crestArsenalWWW330061+59WWW
3Hull City crestHull CityDWW321030+37DWW
4Chelsea crestChelseaLWW320187+16LWW
5Brentford crestBrentfordDDW312052+35DDW
6Liverpool crestLiverpoolWDD▲7312064+25WDD
7Newcastle crestNewcastleDWD▼1312064+25DWD
8Everton crestEvertonDDW▼1312053+25DDW

Title race

Points and gap to the leader
  1. 1 Manchester City crest Manchester City 9pts
    +5 GD WWW
  2. 2 Arsenal crest Arsenal 9pts
    +5 GD WWW
  3. 3 Hull City crest Hull City 7pts
    −2 · +3 GD DWW
  4. 4 Chelsea crest Chelsea 6pts
    −3 · +1 GD LWW
  5. 5 Brentford crest Brentford 5pts
    −4 · +3 GD DDW

Form guide

Latest held form
  1. Manchester City crest Manchester City
    WWW
  2. Arsenal crest Arsenal
    WWW
  3. Hull City crest Hull City
    DWW
  4. Chelsea crest Chelsea
    LWW
  5. Brentford crest Brentford
    DDW

All upcoming fixtures (17)

  1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Chelsea crestChelsea Hull City crestHull City
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Liverpool crestLiverpool Fulham crestFulham
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Aston Villa crestAston Villa Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 51m
    Bournemouth crestBournemouth Brentford crestBrentford
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 12 Sept17:30in 22h 21m
    Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur Everton crestEverton
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  7. Sat 12 Sept20:00in 24h 51m
    Sunderland crestSunderland Arsenal crestArsenal
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  8. Sun 13 Sept14:00in 42h 51m
    Coventry City crestCoventry City Brighton and Hove Albion crestBrighton and Hove Albion
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  9. Sun 13 Sept16:30in 45h 21m
    Manchester United crestManchester United Manchester City crestManchester City
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  10. Mon 14 Sept20:00in 3d
    Leeds United crestLeeds United Newcastle United crestNewcastle United
    Regular Season - 4
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  11. Fri 18 Sept20:00in 7d
    Brentford crestBrentford Chelsea crestChelsea
    Regular Season - 5
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  12. Sat 19 Sept12:30in 8d
    Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur Aston Villa crestAston Villa
    Regular Season - 5
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  13. Sat 19 Sept15:00in 8d
    Everton crestEverton Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town
    Regular Season - 5
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  14. Sat 19 Sept15:00in 8d
    Brighton and Hove Albion crestBrighton and Hove Albion Arsenal crestArsenal
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  15. Sat 19 Sept15:00in 8d
    Newcastle United crestNewcastle United Hull City crestHull City
    Regular Season - 5
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  16. Sat 19 Sept17:30in 8d
    Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest Coventry City crestCoventry City
    Regular Season - 5
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  17. Sun 20 Sept14:00in 9d
    Bournemouth crestBournemouth Liverpool crestLiverpool
    Regular Season - 5
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Full table — Season to date

About this table

stored standings · API-Football · observed 2026-09-07

Premier League
Position#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsFormHome and away detail
1Manchester City crestManchester CityWWW330072+59WWW
2Arsenal crestArsenalWWW330061+59WWW
3Hull City crestHull CityDWW321030+37DWW
4Chelsea crestChelseaLWW320187+16LWW
5Brentford crestBrentfordDDW312052+35DDW
6Liverpool crestLiverpoolWDD▲7312064+25WDD
7Newcastle crestNewcastleDWD▼1312064+25DWD
8Everton crestEvertonDDW▼1312053+25DDW
9Leeds crestLeedsDDW▼1312032+15DDW
10Brighton crestBrightonDLW▼1311185+34DLW
11Manchester United crestManchester UnitedDWL▼1311176+14DWL
12Sunderland crestSunderlandDWL▼131113304DWL
13Crystal Palace crestCrystal PalaceWLL▲5310248-43WLL
14Ipswich crestIpswichLLW▼2310248-43LLW
15Bournemouth crestBournemouthDDL▼1302145-12DDL
16Nottingham Forest crestNottingham ForestDDL▼1302123-12DDL
17Aston Villa crestAston VillaDLL▲2301205-51DLL
18Tottenham crestTottenhamDLL▲2301205-51DLL
19Fulham crestFulhamLLL▼3300347-30LLL
20Coventry crestCoventryLLL▼3300305-50LLL
Qualification and relegation, as the competition's own data describes it
  • Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
  • Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
  • Relegation - Championship

Season leaders (stored)

Top scorers

  1. 1 A. Isak 3
    Liverpool
  2. 2 E. Haaland 3
    Manchester City
  3. 3 Bruno Fernandes 3
    Manchester United
  4. 4 R. Cherki 2
    Manchester City
  5. 5 João Pedro 2
    Chelsea

Most assists

  1. 1 C. Gakpo 3
    Liverpool
  2. 2 R. Cherki 2
    Manchester City
  3. 3 João Pedro 2
    Chelsea
  4. 4 P. Foden 2
    Manchester City
  5. 5 J. Hato 2
    Chelsea

Most carded

  1. 1 V. Janelt 3
    Brentford
  2. 2 C. Tzolis 2
    Arsenal
  3. 3 O. Aina 2
    Nottingham Forest
  4. 4 M. Kerkez 2
    Liverpool
  5. 5 D. Calvert-Lewin 2
    Leeds

Teams this season (20)

Arsenal crestArsenalAston Villa crestAston VillaBournemouth crestBournemouthBrentford crestBrentfordBrighton and Hove Albion crestBrighton and Hove AlbionChelsea crestChelseaCoventry City crestCoventry CityCrystal Palace crestCrystal PalaceEverton crestEvertonFulham crestFulhamHull City crestHull CityIpswich Town crestIpswich TownLeeds United crestLeeds UnitedLiverpool crestLiverpoolManchester City crestManchester CityManchester United crestManchester UnitedNewcastle United crestNewcastle UnitedNottingham Forest crestNottingham ForestSunderland crestSunderlandTottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-05 Newcastle United v Bournemouth Newcastle United to Win 2.16 → 2.20 -1.8% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 2 h ago

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Frequently asked questions

Which EPL fixtures are coming up?
17 EPL fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time.