Premier League

England20 teamsRecords from 2022Regular Season - 9LeagueEPL

10 Premier League fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

10 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
99.5%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-10.6%
9 settled
Fixtures Analysed
80
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 5 months 42.5% 45% JunJulAugSepOct
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 1801 stored fixtures — 5 months carry a model sample, 5 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.78
▼ -0.3
Goals per match
over 80 match · vs all competitions
13.62
– +0.0
Shots per team
over 160 team per match · vs all competitions
4.28
▼ -0.5
On target per team
over 160 team per match · vs all competitions
1.45
▼ -0.1
xG per team
over 92 team per match · vs all competitions
50%
▼ -7.7%
Over 2.5 goals
over 80 match · vs all competitions
50%
▼ -4.8%
Both teams score
over 80 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend50% of the 80 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 38.8% of the 80 finished fixtures stored here, and 28.8% were drawn.
10
Upcoming
on the snapshot
2.00
Goals / match
last 12 results
33%
BTTS
4 of 12
25%
Over 2.5
3 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Sat 31 Oct12:30in 4d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

Season to date
About this table

stored standings · API-Football · observed 2026-10-24

View full table →
Premier League
Position#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsFormHome and away detail
1Manchester City crestManchester CityLWWWW8701209+1121LWWWW
2Arsenal crestArsenalWWWLW8701135+821WWWLW
3Brighton crestBrightonWWWWD7511235+1816WWWWD
4Chelsea crestChelseaLWWLD84131715+213LWWLD
5Liverpool crestLiverpoolWLWDW733198+112WLWDW
6Aston Villa crestAston VillaWWDWL▲68323912-311WWDWL
7Brentford crestBrentfordLDWDD▼17241138+510LDWDD
8Leeds crestLeedsDLDWD▼1724196+310DLDWD

Title race

Points and gap to the leader
  1. 1 Manchester City crest Manchester City 21pts
    +11 GD LWWWW
  2. 2 Arsenal crest Arsenal 21pts
    +8 GD WWWLW
  3. 3 Brighton crest Brighton 16pts
    −5 · +18 GD WWWWD
  4. 4 Chelsea crest Chelsea 13pts
    −8 · +2 GD LWWLD
  5. 5 Liverpool crest Liverpool 12pts
    −9 · +1 GD WLWDW

Form guide

Latest held form
  1. LWWWW
  2. WWWLW
  3. WWWWD
  4. LWWLD
  5. WLWDW

All upcoming fixtures (10)

  1. Sat 31 Oct12:30in 4d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  7. Sat 31 Oct17:30in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  8. Sat 31 Oct20:00in 5d
    Aston Villa crestAston Villa Fulham crestFulham
    Regular Season - 9
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  9. Sun 1 Nov16:30in 6d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  10. Mon 2 Nov20:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Full table — Season to date

About this table

stored standings · API-Football · observed 2026-10-24

Premier League
Position#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsFormHome and away detail
1Manchester City crestManchester CityLWWWW8701209+1121LWWWW
2Arsenal crestArsenalWWWLW8701135+821WWWLW
3Brighton crestBrightonWWWWD7511235+1816WWWWD
4Chelsea crestChelseaLWWLD84131715+213LWWLD
5Liverpool crestLiverpoolWLWDW733198+112WLWDW
6Aston Villa crestAston VillaWWDWL▲68323912-311WWDWL
7Brentford crestBrentfordLDWDD▼17241138+510LDWDD
8Leeds crestLeedsDLDWD▼1724196+310DLDWD
9Everton crestEvertonLLDWD▼1824289-110LLDWD
10Ipswich crestIpswichDLWLW83141216-410DLWLW
11Hull City crestHull CityLDLDD▼2723287+19LDLDD
12Tottenham crestTottenhamWWDLD▲88233810-29WWDLD
13Fulham crestFulhamWWLDD▲48224810-28WWLDD
14Newcastle crestNewcastleLLWLD▼372231014-48LLWLD
15Manchester United crestManchester UnitedDDDLD▼27142101007DDDLD
16Crystal Palace crestCrystal PalaceLWDLW▼27214917-87LWDLW
17Bournemouth crestBournemouthWLLDD▼27133913-46WLLDD
18Nottingham Forest crestNottingham ForestDLLLW8134610-46DLLLW
19Coventry crestCoventryLLWWL▼38206615-96LLWWL
20Sunderland crestSunderlandLLLLD▼17115614-84LLLLD
Qualification and relegation, as the competition's own data describes it
  • Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
  • Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
  • Relegation - Championship

Season leaders (stored)

Top scorers

  1. 1 E. Haaland 9
    Manchester City
  2. 2 João Pedro 5
    Chelsea
  3. 3 A. Isak 5
    Liverpool
  4. 4 R. Cherki 4
    Manchester City
  5. 5 M. Rogers 4
    Chelsea

Most assists

  1. 1 P. Groß 4
    Brighton
  2. 2 Evanilson 4
    Bournemouth
  3. 3 D. Rice 4
    Arsenal
  4. 4 João Pedro 3
    Chelsea
  5. 5 C. Palmer 3
    Chelsea

Most carded

  1. 1 V. Janelt 5
    Brentford
  2. 2 M. Cash 4
    Aston Villa
  3. 3 Thiago 4
    Brentford
  4. 4 M. Crooks 4
    Hull City
  5. 5 A. Fatawu 3
    Ipswich

Teams this season (20)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-10-24 Arsenal v Everton Arsenal to Win 1.48 → 1.40 +5.7% ✓ WIN
2026-10-19 Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City Tottenham Hotspur to Win 1.56 → 1.58 -1.3% ✓ WIN
2026-10-18 Brighton and Hove Albion v Crystal Palace Over 2.5 Goals 1.55 → 1.55 0% ✓ WIN
2026-10-17 Newcastle United v Aston Villa Over 2.5 Goals 1.61 → 1.55 +3.9% ✕ LOSS
2026-10-10 Chelsea v Bournemouth Chelsea to Win 1.86 → 1.87 -0.5% ✓ WIN
2026-09-20 Fulham v Manchester United Manchester United to Win 2.10 → 2.08 +1% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 5 h ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which EPL fixtures are coming up?
10 EPL fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Chelsea v Manchester United on Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time.