S

Sunderland

EPL·12 of 20 in the table·4 points·Stadium of Light

Next match Sunderland v Arsenal Sat 12 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Sunderland — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

81

Elite

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.9%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept20:00 Arsenal H — 8.40Betfair Exchange — Wed 16 Sept20:00 AZ Alkmaar H — 1.71Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

DWL 4 pts from 3

A Brentford 1–1 +0.3

H Fulham 1–0 —

A Ipswich 1–2 -1.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.2 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots faced 10.3 #3 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #4 of 20

Goals conceded 1 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1 #15 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1 #15 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 12.3 #12 of 20

On target 4.3 #11 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #7 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 10.3 #3 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #4 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 3 goals

67%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 3 goals

33%

From the penalty spot

of 3 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (6 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#12

Position

4

Points from 3 played

0

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
10	Brighton	3	3	4
11	Manchester United	3	1	4
12	Sunderland	3	0	4
13	Crystal Palace	3	-4	3
14	Ipswich	3	-4	3

Sunderland and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept20:00in 24h 26m
   Sunderland Arsenal

   EPL

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 16 Sept20:00in 5d
   Sunderland AZ Alkmaar

   UEL

   League Stage - 1
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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