S

Sunderland

EPL·20 of 20 in the table·4 points·Stadium of Light

Next match Sunderland v Brentford Wed 28 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Sunderland — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

61.8

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

20th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Wed 28 Oct19:45 Brentford H — 3.90Unibet — Sat 31 Oct15:00 Coventry City A — 2.48Casumo — Thu 5 Nov20:00 Dinamo Zagreb H — 1.44Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

DLLLLD 2 pts from 6

H Leeds 0–0 -0.3

A Bournemouth 0–2 -0.9

H Brighton 0–2 -1.4

A Manchester City 3–5 -0.4

H Arsenal 0–2 -0.8

A Brentford 1–1 +0.3

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.6 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 1.75 #15 of 20

Points over model expectation -1.6 #16 of 20

Expected goals against 1.78 #17 of 20

Goals scored 0.75 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.75 #19 of 20

Expected goals 0.84 #19 of 20

Shots 12 #13 of 20

On target 4 #12 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.75 #15 of 20

Expected against 1.78 #17 of 20

Shots faced 13.9 #10 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #10 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

43%

Scored before half time

of 7 goals

29%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 7 goals

29%

From the penalty spot

of 7 goals

29%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 14 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#20

Position

4

Points from 7 played

-8

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
18	Nottingham Forest	8	-4	6
19	Coventry	8	-9	6
20	Sunderland	7	-8	4

Sunderland and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct19:45in 41h 16m
   Sunderland Brentford

   EFL

   Round of 16
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5d
   Coventry City Sunderland

   EPL

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Thu 5 Nov20:00in 10d
   Sunderland Dinamo Zagreb

   UEL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 39 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (3)
SS. Moore	35	21
RR. Roefs	22	22
MM. Ellborg	22	31
Defenders (10)
KK. Danso	27	4
AA. Alese	24	5
DD. Ballard	26	5
BB. Kindon	18	6
DD. Methalie	19	6
AA. Lightfoot	18	14
OO. Alderete	29	15
RReinildo	32	17
NN. Mukiele	28	20
TT. Hume	23	32
Midfielders (14)
JJ. Whittaker	19	4
CC. Dinsdale	18	7
AA. Browne	30	8
NN. Angulo	22	10
TT. Proctor	17	10
CC. Rigg	18	11
TT. Meunier	34	12
LL. O'Nien	31	13
HH. Diarra	21	19
NN. Sadiki	21	27
EE. Le Fée	25	28
JJules Ahoka	20	29
GG. Xhaka	33	34
JJenson Jones	19	52
Forwards (12)
CC. Talbi	20	7
BB. Brobbey	23	9
TT. Ogunsuyi	19	9
RR. Mundle	22	14
FF. Scott	18	16
WW. Isidor	25	18
JJ. Bi	20	37
MM. Fofana	20	39
JJ. Angulo	18	50
TT. Tuterov	20	57
TTimur Tuterov	20	57
FF. Geragusian	18	74

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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