Bournemouth v Leeds United — EPL prediction, odds and analysis
EPLAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
BournemouthvLeeds United
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00Bournemouth2.22Betfair
Draw3.60Betfred (UK)
Leeds United3.65Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 21 bookmakers · prices observed 14 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Vitality Stadium, BournemouthKickoff weather: 11.7°C · rain 0 mm · wind 17.2 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWWLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.25 / 1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Manchester United (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs AC Milan (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Sunderland (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Sturm Graz (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | at Chelsea (A) | 1-5 | L |
DDLDWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Sunderland (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Manchester United (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | at Arsenal (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Crystal Palace (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Newcastle (H) | 4-1 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 17 | 6 | 7 | -4 | WLLDD |
| Leeds United | 8 | 10 | 7 | +3 | DLDWD |
Bournemouth: 15 pts behind 1st · 2 pts above 20th
Leeds United: 11 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Bournemouth 1 win2 drawsLeeds United 1avg 5 goalsBTTS 100%Over 2.5 in 100%
small sample — 4 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United FC | 2-2 | Premier League |
| 2025-09-27 | Leeds United FC v AFC Bournemouth | 2-2 | Premier League |
| 2023-04-30 | Bournemouth v Leeds | 4-1 | Premier League |
| 2022-11-05 | Leeds v Bournemouth | 4-3 | Premier League |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Bournemouthsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| J. Kluivert | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Christie | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Araujo | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Adli | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| A. Scott | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Toth | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Soler | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| E. J. Kroupi | Questionable | Foot Injury |
| V. Milosavljevic | Questionable | Lacking Match Fitness |
| J. Kluivert | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Christie | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Araujo | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Adli | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| A. Scott | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Toth | Questionable | Injury |
Leeds Unitedsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Calvert-Lewin | Questionable | Foot Injury |
| H. Wilson | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Rodon | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. James | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| G. Gudmundsson | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| N. Okafor | Questionable | Groin Injury |
| I. Gruev | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| W. Gnonto | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| A. Stach | Questionable | Groin Injury |
| M. Joseph | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| H. Wilson | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Rodon | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. James | Questionable | Back Injury |
| G. Gudmundsson | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| I. Gruev | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 18 Oct, 07:20 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
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Frequently asked questions
When do Bournemouth play Leeds United?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time in the EPL.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 14 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.