B

Bournemouth

EPL·15 of 20 in the table·2 points·Vitality Stadium

Next match Bournemouth v Brentford Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Bournemouth — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

77

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

9th

of 9 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept15:00 Brentford H — 2.58Betfair Exchange — Thu 17 Sept20:00 Real Sociedad A — 2.55Grosvenor —

Form

last 3

DDL 2 pts from 3

A Newcastle 2–2 +0.2

H Everton 1–1 -0.4

A Manchester City 1–2 -0.4

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.7 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots faced 11.3 #5 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 1.67 #15 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #18 of 20

Points over model expectation -0.7 #7 of 9

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.33 #12 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 13 #10 of 20

On target 4.7 #9 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.67 #15 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 11.3 #5 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #18 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

100%

Scored before half time

of 3 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 3 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 3 goals

67%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#15

Position

2

Points from 3 played

-1

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
13	Crystal Palace	3	-4	3
14	Ipswich	3	-4	3
15	Bournemouth	3	-1	2
16	Nottingham Forest	3	-1	2
17	Aston Villa	3	-5	1

Bournemouth and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 19h 26m
   Bournemouth Brentford

   EPL

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 17 Sept20:00in 6d
   Real Sociedad Bournemouth

   UEL

   League Stage - 1
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 34 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (5)
KK. Crampton	18	1
ĐĐ. Petrović	26	1
FF. Forster	37	17
MM. Di Gregorio	28	20
WW. Dennis	25	40
Defenders (9)
AA. Truffert	24	3
MM. Aarons	25	3
JJ. Hill	23	5
JJ. Soler	20	6
AAntónio Silva	22	14
AA. Smith	34	15
BB. Diakité	24	18
JJ. Araujo	24	22
VVeljko Milosavljević	18	44
Midfielders (14)
LL. Cook	28	4
ZZ. Christie	16	4
CC. Stevens	18	7
DD. Brooks	28	7
AA. Scott	22	8
MMalcom Dacosta	17	10
RR. Christie	30	10
TT. Adams	26	12
MM. Tavernier	26	16
JJ. Kluivert	26	19
AA. Adli	25	21
JJuanlu Sánchez	22	24
AA. Tóth	20	27
RRayan	19	37
Forwards (6)
EEvanilson	26	9
BB. Doak	20	11
RRemy Rees-Dottin	19	11
EE. Kroupi	19	22
DD. Jebbison	22	29
ÁÁ. Rodríguez	21	30

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

Explore