MC

Manchester City

EPL·1 of 20 in the table·9 points·Etihad Stadium

Next match Manchester United v Manchester City Sun 13 Sept, 16:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Manchester City — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 13 Sept16:30 Manchester United A — 2.18Betfair Exchange — Thu 17 Sept19:30 Norwich City H — 1.15Coral —

Form

last 3

WWW 9 pts from 3

H Coventry 1–0 +0.7

A Crystal Palace 4–1 —

H Bournemouth 2–1 +0.6

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.3 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Possession 72% #1 of 20

Shots on target 6.3 #2 of 20

Shots faced 8.7 #2 of 20

Goals scored 2.33 #4 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.33 #4 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 15.3 #8 of 20

On target 6.3 #2 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.67 #5 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 8.7 #2 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #11 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

25%

Scored before half time

of 8 goals

38%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 8 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 8 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 1 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#1

Position

9

Points from 3 played

+5

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	3	5	9
2	Arsenal	3	5	9
3	Hull City	3	3	7

Manchester City and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept16:30in 44h 56m
   Manchester United Manchester City

   EPL

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 17 Sept19:30in 6d
   Manchester City Norwich City

   EFL

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 24 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (3)
GG. Donnarumma	26	1
MM. Bettinelli	33	13
GG. Rulli	33	28
Defenders (8)
RRúben Dias	29	3
MM. Guéhi	25	6
RR. Aït-Nouri	24	21
VVitor Nunes	19	22
JJ. Gvardiol	23	24
MMatheus Nunes	27	27
AA. Khusanov	21	45
RR. Lewis	21	82
Midfielders (8)
EE. Anderson	23	5
MM. Kovačić	31	8
RR. Cherki	22	10
EE. Fernández	25	17
AA. Bouaddi	18	32
NN. O'Reilly	20	33
AA. Semenyo	25	42
PP. Foden	25	47
Forwards (5)
II. Ndiaye	25	7
EE. Haaland	25	9
JJ. Doku	23	11
AAllan	21	37
RR. McAidoo	17	56

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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