A

Arsenal

EPL·2 of 20 in the table·9 points·Emirates Stadium

Next match Sunderland v Arsenal Sat 12 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Arsenal — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

4 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

72

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

4 priced

Sat 12 Sept20:00 Sunderland A — 1.51Betfair Exchange — Tue 15 Sept20:00 Ipswich Town A — 1.45Betway — Tue 15 Sept20:00 Ipswich A — no price — Sat 19 Sept15:00 Brighton and Hove Albion A — 1.80Betfred —

Form

last 3

WWW 9 pts from 3

H Chelsea 2–1 +1.3

A Aston Villa 1–0 +1.3

H Coventry 3–0 —

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (2 priced) Ahead Behind

+5.6 points against the model's expectation over the 2 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots faced 8 #1 of 20

Goals conceded 0.33 #2 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #2 of 20

Goals scored 2 #5 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2 #5 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 14.3 #9 of 20

On target 5.7 #5 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.33 #2 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 8 #1 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #2 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 1 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EPL EPL 4 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#2

Position

9

Points from 3 played

+5

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	3	5	9
2	Arsenal	3	5	9
3	Hull City	3	3	7
4	Chelsea	3	1	6

Arsenal and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept20:00in 24h 26m
   Sunderland Arsenal

   EPL

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
   Ipswich Town Arsenal

   EFL
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
   Ipswich Arsenal

   LC

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
4. Sat 19 Sept15:00in 8d
   Brighton and Hove Albion Arsenal

   EPL
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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