Aston Villa v Fulham — EPL prediction, odds and analysis
EPLAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Aston VillavFulham
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00Aston Villa2.06Betfair
Draw3.85Betfair
Fulham3.85Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 21 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Villa Park, BirminghamKickoff weather: 7.8°C · rain 0 mm · wind 10.5 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWLWWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.67 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Manchester City (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Viking (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | at Potters Tigers (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | at Newcastle (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Fenerbahçe (H) | 6-0 | W |
Key players (this season, by minutes)
| Player | Apps | Mins | G | A | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 E. Buendía Midfielder |
1 | 96 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.5 |
 George Hemmings Midfielder |
1 | 96 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.3 |
 I. Maatsen Defender |
1 | 96 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.9 |
 M. Bizot Goalkeeper |
1 | 96 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.7 |
 M. Cash Defender |
1 | 96 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.7 |
WWWLLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | at Coventry (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | at Coventry City FC (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Hull City (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | at Ipswich (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | at Ipswich Town FC (A) | 1-2 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 6 | 11 | 8 | -3 | WWDWL |
| Fulham | 13 | 8 | 8 | -2 | WWLDD |
Aston Villa: 10 pts behind 1st · 7 pts above 20th
Fulham: 13 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Aston Villa 5 wins0 drawsFulham 1avg 2.7 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Fulham FC v Aston Villa FC | 1-0 | Premier League |
| 2025-09-28 | Aston Villa FC v Fulham FC | 3-1 | Premier League |
| 2025-05-03 | Aston Villa v Fulham | 1-0 | Premier League |
| 2024-10-19 | Fulham v Aston Villa | 1-3 | Premier League |
| 2024-02-17 | Fulham FC v Aston Villa FC | 1-2 | Premier League |
| 2024-02-17 | Fulham v Aston Villa | 1-2 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Aston Villasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| L. Goretzka | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Bailey | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Wan-Bissaka | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Abraham | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Cash | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| O. Watkins | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Bizot | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| P. Torres | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| I. Maatsen | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| M. Ruggeri | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Onana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Joao Gomes | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| G. Hemmings | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Manzambi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Alysson | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Fulhamsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| K. Tete | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
| J. Andersen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Cairney | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Sessegnon | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Robinson | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. De Fougerolles | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Larsson | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| K. Tete | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
| J. Andersen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Cairney | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Sessegnon | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Robinson | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. De Fougerolles | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Larsson | Questionable | Groin Injury |
| K. Tete | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 18 Oct, 07:20 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
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Frequently asked questions
When do Aston Villa play Fulham?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time in the EPL.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.