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Primeira Liga

Portugal18 teamsRegular Season - 6LeaguePrimeira Liga - Portugal
Next match Nacional v Alverca Sat 12 Sept, 15:30

9 Primeira Liga fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

9 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
97.4%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-100.0%
3 settled
Fixtures Analysed
44
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 3 months 40% 45% 50% JulAugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 315 stored fixtures — 3 months carry a model sample, 3 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
1 Benfica crestBenfica Gil Vicente crestGil Vicente Gil Vicente1X2 13.00 → 22.00 +69.2%Drifting 2 Casa Pia crestCasa Pia FC Porto crestFC Porto Casa Pia1X2 11.00 → 15.50 +40.9%Drifting 3 Famalicão crestFamalicão Sporting Lisbon crestSporting Lisbon Famalicão1X2 4.80 → 5.75 +19.8%Drifting 4 Académico de Viseu crestAcadémico de Viseu Vitória SC crestVitória SC Académico de Viseu1X2 3.25 → 3.85 +18.5%Drifting 5 Braga crestBraga Estoril crestEstoril Estoril1X2 6.00 → 7.00 +16.7%Drifting
View all fixtures →

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.64
▼ -0.5
Goals per match
over 44 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 44 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 44 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 44 finished fixtures
52.3%
▼ -6.0%
Over 2.5 goals
over 44 match · vs all competitions
40.9%
▼ -13.7%
Both teams score
over 44 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend52.3% of the 44 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 40.9% of the 44 finished fixtures stored here, and 27.3% were drawn.
9
Upcoming
on the snapshot
2.50
Goals / match
last 12 results
42%
BTTS
5 of 12
67%
Over 2.5
8 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
View all →
  1. Sat 12 Sept15:30in 19h 52m
    Nacional crestNacional Alverca crestAlverca
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 12 Sept18:00in 22h 22m
    Casa Pia crestCasa Pia FC Porto crestFC Porto
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 12 Sept20:30in 24h 52m
    Académico de Viseu crestAcadémico de Viseu Vitória SC crestVitória SC
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sun 13 Sept18:00in 46h 22m
    Arouca crestArouca Santa Clara crestSanta Clara
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sun 13 Sept18:00in 46h 22m
    Benfica crestBenfica Gil Vicente crestGil Vicente
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sun 13 Sept20:30in 2d
    Famalicão crestFamalicão Sporting Lisbon crestSporting Lisbon
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

Season to date
Limited table feed

stored standings · football-data.org · observed 2026-09-11

This feed carries the overall table only — no home and away record and no qualification or relegation wording. Those appear on competitions covered by the detailed feed.

View full table →
Position#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Porto crestFC Porto5500111+1015
2Sport Lisboa e Benfica5410183+1513
3Sporting Clube de Portugal5410145+913
4CD Santa Clara crestCD Santa Clara532093+611
5FC Arouca crestFC Arouca531173+410
6CF Estrela da Amadora5230119+29
7Gil Vicente FC crestGil Vicente421131+27
8Sporting Clube de Braga421165+17

Title race

Points and gap to the leader
  1. 1 FC Porto crest FC Porto 15pts
    +10 GD
  2. 2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 13pts
    −2 · +15 GD
  3. 3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 13pts
    −2 · +9 GD
  4. 4 CD Santa Clara crest CD Santa Clara 11pts
    −4 · +6 GD
  5. 5 FC Arouca crest FC Arouca 10pts
    −5 · +4 GD

All upcoming fixtures (9)

  1. Sat 12 Sept15:30in 19h 52m
    Nacional crestNacional Alverca crestAlverca
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 12 Sept18:00in 22h 22m
    Casa Pia crestCasa Pia FC Porto crestFC Porto
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 12 Sept20:30in 24h 52m
    Académico de Viseu crestAcadémico de Viseu Vitória SC crestVitória SC
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sun 13 Sept18:00in 46h 22m
    Arouca crestArouca Santa Clara crestSanta Clara
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sun 13 Sept18:00in 46h 22m
    Benfica crestBenfica Gil Vicente crestGil Vicente
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sun 13 Sept20:30in 2d
    Famalicão crestFamalicão Sporting Lisbon crestSporting Lisbon
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  7. Mon 14 Sept18:45in 3d
    Rio Ave FC crestRio Ave CF Estrela crestCF Estrela
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  8. Mon 14 Sept20:15in 3d
    Moreirense FC crestMoreirense CS Maritimo crestCS Maritimo
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  9. Mon 14 Sept20:45in 3d
    Braga crestBraga Estoril crestEstoril
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Full table — Season to date

Form will appear after enough current-season results are stored.
Limited table feed

stored standings · football-data.org · observed 2026-09-11

This feed carries the overall table only — no home and away record and no qualification or relegation wording. Those appear on competitions covered by the detailed feed.

Position#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Porto crestFC Porto5500111+1015
2Sport Lisboa e Benfica5410183+1513
3Sporting Clube de Portugal5410145+913
4CD Santa Clara crestCD Santa Clara532093+611
5FC Arouca crestFC Arouca531173+410
6CF Estrela da Amadora5230119+29
7Gil Vicente FC crestGil Vicente421131+27
8Sporting Clube de Braga421165+17
9CS Marítimo crestCS Marítimo521268-27
10Académico de Viseu FC crestAcadémico de Viseu512258-35
11CD Nacional crestCD Nacional511368-24
12Vitória SC crestVitória SC511335-24
13Moreirense FC crestMoreirense5113412-84
14FC Famalicão crestFC Famalicão503246-23
15Rio Ave FC crestRio Ave5104211-93
16FC Alverca crestFC Alverca5023510-52
17GD Estoril Praia502327-52
18Casa Pia AC crestCasa Pia AC5014011-111

Teams this season (18)

Académico de Viseu crestAcadémico de ViseuAlverca crestAlvercaArouca crestAroucaBenfica crestBenficaBraga crestBragaCasa Pia crestCasa PiaCF Estrela crestCF EstrelaCS Maritimo crestCS MaritimoEstoril crestEstorilFamalicão crestFamalicãoFC Porto crestFC PortoGil Vicente crestGil VicenteMoreirense FC crestMoreirenseNacional crestNacionalRio Ave FC crestRio AveSanta Clara crestSanta ClaraSporting Lisbon crestSporting LisbonVitória SC crestVitória SC

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-10 CF Estrela v Braga Braga to Win 1.72 → 1.64 +4.9% ✕ LOSS
2026-09-06 Vitória SC v Casa Pia Vitória SC to Win 1.54 → 1.51 +2% ✕ LOSS
2026-08-09 Moreirense FC v Braga Braga to Win 1.68 → 1.58 +6.3% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 8 min ago

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Frequently asked questions

Which Primeira Liga - Portugal fixtures are coming up?
9 Primeira Liga - Portugal fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Nacional v Alverca on Sat 12 Sept, 15:30 UK time.