SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Arouca
Join free channel

Arouca

Primeira Liga - PortugalEstádio Municipal de Arouca
Next match Arouca v Santa Clara Sun 13 Sept, 18:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Arouca — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.4%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 15 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sun 13 Sept18:00 Santa Clara crest Santa Clara H — 2.72Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 5
DWLWW 10 pts from 5
A Estoril 0–0 -0.1
H Maritimo 2–1 —
A FC Porto 0–2 -0.4
H Moreirense 4–0 +1.4
A Vitória SC 1–0 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 5 10
+6.9 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 6.9 #2 of 15
Goals conceded 0.6 #5 of 18
Clean sheets 3 #5 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.4 #7 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.6 #5 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 3 #5 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
50%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 1 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (3 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PRI Primeira Liga - Portugal 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Estádio Municipal de Arouca gazetteer
Recorded form DDWLWW last 12: 1.08 scored / 0.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 25% · clean sheets 58% (40 results held)
A Estoril 0-0 D · A GD Estoril Praia 0-0 D · H Maritimo 2-1 W · A FC Porto 0-2 L · H Moreirense 4-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept18:00in 45h 53m
    Arouca crestArouca Santa Clara crestSanta Clara
    PRI
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 5 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN J. Opoku from Fulham 2022-07-01
IN Toni Gomes from Liverpool 2018-07-01
IN Jorginho from Manchester City 2016-02-01
OUT Cristian Ceballos to Tottenham 2014-07-01
IN Cristian Ceballos from Tottenham Loan 2013-09-02
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Explore

Primeira Liga - Portugal Next: Arouca v Santa Clara Search Arouca matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Arouca play next?
Arouca's next fixture in the snapshot is Arouca v Santa Clara on Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 UK time (Primeira Liga - Portugal).