Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Porto — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 15 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Betfair ExchangeForm
last 5WWWWW
15 pts from 5
H
Moreirense
2–1
+0.6
A
Academico Viseu
3–0
—
H
Arouca
2–0
+0.5
A
Rio Ave
2–0
+0.8
H
Alverca
2–0
+0.5
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches)
Model expected (5 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+5.4 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
0.2
#1 of 18
Clean sheets
4
#1 of 18
Goals scored
2.2
#4 of 18
Points over model expectation
5.4
#4 of 15
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
2.2
#4 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.2
#1 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
4
#1 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed80%
Scored before half time
of 5 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 5 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 5 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 1 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures
(6 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PRI#1
Position
15
Points from 5 played
+10
Goal difference
| # | Team | Pl | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 5 | 15 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 5 | 9 | 13 |
FC Porto and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.
Home ground: Estádio do Dragão gazetteer
Recorded form
LWWWWW
last 12: 1.58 scored / 0.67 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 25% · clean sheets 58% (40 results held)
H Manchester City 0-2 L · H Moreirense 2-1 W · A Academico Viseu 3-0 W · A Académico de Viseu FC 3-0 W · H Arouca 2-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 12 Sept18:00in 21h 15mnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | J. Kiwior | from Arsenal | Transfer | 2026-06-30 |
| OUT | J. Kiwior | to Arsenal | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| IN | J. Kiwior | from Arsenal | Loan | 2025-09-01 |
| OUT | Fábio Vieira | to Arsenal | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| OUT | Fábio Vieira | to Arsenal | Return from loan | 2025-06-29 |
| OUT | Nico González | to Manchester City | Transfer | 2025-02-03 |
| IN | Fábio Vieira | from Arsenal | Loan | 2024-08-27 |
| OUT | Evanilson | to Bournemouth | 37M | 2024-08-16 |
| OUT | Fábio Vieira | to Arsenal | € 35M | 2022-06-21 |
| OUT | L. Díaz | to Liverpool | € 44.5M | 2022-01-30 |
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do FC Porto play next?
FC Porto's next fixture in the snapshot is Casa Pia v FC Porto on Sat 12 Sept, 18:00 UK time (Primeira Liga - Portugal).