Alverca

Next match Benfica v Alverca Mon 2 Nov, 20:15

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Alverca — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming9 Results held

Model Strength

72.4

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.5%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

13th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Mon 2 Nov20:15

Benfica A — no price —

Form

last 6

LWWWLD 10 pts from 6

H Arouca 0–1 -1.3

A Famalicao 4–1 +2.2

H Rio Ave 1–0 +1.5

A Nacional 3–1 +1.9

H SC Braga 1–2 -1.6

H Santa Clara 1–1 —

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind

+1.9 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 1 #14 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.44 #7 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.44 #11 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 1 #14 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

60%

Scored before half time

of 10 goals

20%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 10 goals

20%

From the penalty spot

of 10 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (16 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

PRI Primeira Liga 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Recorded form LLWWWL last 12: 1.42 scored / 1.67 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 8% (40 results held)

H Arouca 0-1 L · A Tondela 0-2 L · A Famalicao 4-1 W · H Rio Ave 1-0 W · A Nacional 3-1 W

Upcoming fixtures

Mon 2 Nov20:15in 7d

Benfica Alverca
PRI

Regular Season - 10

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 4 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
IN	Matheus França	from Crystal Palace	Loan	2026-09-03
IN	M. Jemide	from Crystal Palace	Transfer	2026-08-19
IN	M. Jemide	from Crystal Palace	Transfer	2026-08-18
IN	O. Torrellas	from Atletico Madrid	Transfer	2026-06-30

Team data: fresh · collected 5 h ago

Explore

Primeira Liga Next: Benfica v Alverca Search Alverca matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Alverca play next?

Alverca's next fixture in the snapshot is Benfica v Alverca on Mon 2 Nov, 20:15 UK time (Primeira Liga).