Major League Soccer

USA30 teamsRegular Season - 34LeagueMLS

15 Major League Soccer fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

15 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
96.7%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-9.6%
9 settled
Fixtures Analysed
495
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 5 months 46% 48% 50% JulAugSepOctNov
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 2708 stored fixtures — 5 months carry a model sample, 5 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
3.26
▲ +0.2
Goals per match
over 495 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 495 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 495 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 495 finished fixtures
64.4%
▲ +6.8%
Over 2.5 goals
over 495 match · vs all competitions
64.2%
▲ +9.5%
Both teams score
over 495 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend64.4% of the 495 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 45.9% of the 495 finished fixtures stored here, and 26.1% were drawn.
15
Upcoming
on the snapshot
3.67
Goals / match
last 12 results
83%
BTTS
10 of 12
75%
Over 2.5
9 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No stored table rows for this competition yet — no stored standings row is held for MLS.

All upcoming fixtures (15)

  1. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  7. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  8. Sat 7 Nov21:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  9. Sun 8 Nov00:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  10. Sun 8 Nov00:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  11. Sun 8 Nov00:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  12. Sun 8 Nov00:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  13. Sun 8 Nov00:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  14. Sun 8 Nov00:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  15. Sun 8 Nov00:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Teams this season (30)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-11-01 Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC Los Angeles FC to Win 1.71 → 1.81 -5.5% ✕ LOSS
2026-10-14 Los Angeles FC v Austin FC Los Angeles FC to Win 1.48 → 1.42 +4.2% ✓ WIN
2026-09-23 Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake Seattle Sounders FC to Win 1.89 → 1.85 +2.2% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 6 min ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which MLS fixtures are coming up?
15 MLS fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with CF Montreal v Vancouver Whitecaps FC on Sat 7 Nov, 21:00 UK time.