Major League Soccer

USA30 teamsRegular Season - 25LeagueMLS

15 Major League Soccer fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

15 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
98.1%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-20.5%
6 settled
Fixtures Analysed
139
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 3 months 46% 48% 50% JulAugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 1524 stored fixtures — 3 months carry a model sample, 3 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
3.06
▼ -0.1
Goals per match
over 139 match · vs all competitions
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 139 finished fixtures
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 139 finished fixtures
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 139 finished fixtures
61.9%
▲ +3.6%
Over 2.5 goals
over 139 match · vs all competitions
66.9%
▲ +12.4%
Both teams score
over 139 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend61.9% of the 139 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 43.9% of the 139 finished fixtures stored here, and 30.9% were drawn.
15
Upcoming
on the snapshot
3.33
Goals / match
last 12 results
75%
BTTS
9 of 12
75%
Over 2.5
9 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  2. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  3. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  4. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  5. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  6. Sun 13 Sept01:30in 29h 53m
    not modelled
    model building

League table

No stored table rows for this competition yet — no stored standings row is held for MLS.

All upcoming fixtures (15)

  1. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  2. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  3. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  4. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  5. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 28h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  6. Sun 13 Sept01:30in 29h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  7. Sun 13 Sept01:30in 29h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  8. Sun 13 Sept01:30in 29h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  9. Sun 13 Sept02:30in 30h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  10. Sun 13 Sept02:30in 30h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  11. Sun 13 Sept03:30in 31h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  12. Sun 13 Sept03:30in 31h 53m
    not modelled
    model building
  13. Sun 13 Sept22:30in 2d
    not modelled
    model building
  14. Sun 13 Sept23:30in 2d
    not modelled
    model building
  15. Mon 14 Sept02:00in 2d
    not modelled
    model building

Teams this season (30)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-05 Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal Philadelphia Union to Win 1.47 → 1.49 -1.3% ✓ WIN
2026-08-22 Los Angeles FC v Portland Timbers Los Angeles FC to Win 1.66 → — OPEN
2026-08-19 Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC Over 2.5 Goals 1.76 → 1.78 -1.1% ✕ LOSS
2026-07-31 New York City FC v Toronto FC Over 2.5 Goals 1.80 → 1.66 +8.4% ✕ LOSS
2026-07-22 Nashville SC v CF Montreal Nashville SC to Win 1.53 → 1.58 -3.2% ✓ WIN
2026-07-22 Los Angeles FC v Real Salt Lake Los Angeles FC to Win 1.77 → 1.79 -1.1% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 7 min ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which MLS fixtures are coming up?
15 MLS fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with FC Cincinnati v Charlotte FC on Sun 13 Sept, 00:30 UK time.