Atlanta United FC

MLSMercedes-Benz Stadium

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Atlanta United FC — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
60
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
17th
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
LDLWWW 10 pts from 6
H Orlando City SC 2–3 -1.7
A Inter Miami 2–2 +0.0
H Charlotte 0–2 -1.8
H Sporting Kansas City 2–1 +1.3
A Minnesota United FC 2–1 +2.0
H New York Red Bulls 2–1 +1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 10 matches 0 6 12
-1.0 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 2 #25 of 30
Clean sheets 0 #27 of 30

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.5 #17 of 30
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2 #25 of 30
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 0 #27 of 30

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
44%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
22%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
22%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
29%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 14 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (23 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
MLS MLS 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Mercedes-Benz Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form LDLWWW last 12: 1.5 scored / 2 conceded per game · Over 2.5 80% · BTTS 80% · clean sheets 0% (10 results held)
H Orlando City SC 2-3 L · A Inter Miami 2-2 D · H Charlotte 0-2 L · H Sporting Kansas City 2-1 W · A Minnesota United FC 2-1 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 27h 38m
    not modelled
    model building

Transfers (last 6 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN M. Almirón from Newcastle Transfer 2025-01-31
OUT C. Wiley to Chelsea € 10.1M 2024-07-22
IN E. Hyndman from Bournemouth 2020-01-01
IN E. Hyndman from Bournemouth Loan 2019-07-02
OUT M. Almirón to Newcastle € 23.9M 2019-01-31
IN A. Walkes from Tottenham Loan 2017-02-14
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago

Explore

MLS Next: D.C. United v Atlanta United FC Search Atlanta United FC matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Atlanta United FC play next?
Atlanta United FC's next fixture in the snapshot is D.C. United v Atlanta United FC on Sun 13 Sept, 00:30 UK time (MLS).