NER

New England Revolution

MLS·Gillette Stadium

Next match New England Revolution v New York Red Bulls Wed 28 Oct, 23:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for New England Revolution — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming31 Results held

Model Strength

63.9

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

17th

of 30 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

31

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct23:30 New York Red Bulls H — 1.99Betfair Exchange — Mon 2 Nov00:00 Inter Miami CF H — 2.65Casumo —

Form

last 6

WWWLLW 12 pts from 6

A Philadelphia Union 2–1 +2.2

H Chicago Fire 1–0 +1.2

A FC Cincinnati 3–2 +1.9

H Seattle Sounders 0–3 -1.5

A Real Salt Lake 0–3 -0.9

H Orlando City SC 4–2 +1.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (31 matches) Model expected (17 priced) Ahead Behind

+33.1 points against the model's expectation over the 17 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Points over model expectation 33.1 #3 of 30

Goals conceded 1.35 #7 of 30

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.65 #14 of 30

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.35 #7 of 30

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 6 #11 of 30

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

56%

Scored before half time

of 25 goals

28%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 25 goals

16%

From the penalty spot

of 25 goals

21%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 19 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 31 stored fixtures (44 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

MLS MLS 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct23:30in 45h 01m
   New England Revolution New York Red Bulls

   MLS

   Regular Season - 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Mon 2 Nov00:00in 6d
   New England Revolution Inter Miami CF

   MLS

   Regular Season - 33
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 6 recorded)

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