SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight FC Dallas
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FC Dallas

MLSToyota Stadium
Next match FC Dallas v Portland Timbers Sun 13 Sept, 01:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Dallas — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming9 Results held
Model Strength
68
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
27th
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
9
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sun 13 Sept01:30 Portland Timbers crest Portland Timbers H — 1.91Sky Bet —

Form

last 6
WWDLWW 13 pts from 6
A Minnesota United FC 2–1 +1.9
H Sporting Kansas City 4–3 +1.2
A St. Louis City 3–3 -0.1
A Vancouver Whitecaps 0–5 -1.0
A Real Salt Lake 4–3 +2.0
A Austin 2–1 +1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 9 matches 0 8 15
+5.0 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 5 #8 of 30
Goals scored 1.89 #10 of 30
Weaknesses
Clean sheets 1 #23 of 30
Goals conceded 2.11 #27 of 30

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.89 #10 of 30
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2.11 #27 of 30
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #23 of 30

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
40%
Scored before half time
of 10 goals
50%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 10 goals
10%
From the penalty spot
of 10 goals
14%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 7 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (17 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
MLS MLS 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Toyota Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form WWDLWW last 12: 1.67 scored / 1.67 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
A Minnesota United FC 2-1 W · H Sporting Kansas City 4-3 W · A St. Louis City 3-3 D · A Vancouver Whitecaps 0-5 L · A Real Salt Lake 4-3 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept01:30in 28h 39m
    FC Dallas crestFC Dallas Portland Timbers crestPortland Timbers
    MLS
    Regular Season - 25
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

MLS Next: FC Dallas v Portland Timbers Search FC Dallas matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do FC Dallas play next?
FC Dallas's next fixture in the snapshot is FC Dallas v Portland Timbers on Sun 13 Sept, 01:30 UK time (MLS).