Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Inter Miami — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming32 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.8%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
8th
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
32
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6DLWWWL
10 pts from 6
H
FC Cincinnati
2–2
-1.0
A
New York Red Bulls
0–2
-0.9
A
Atlanta United FC
3–1
+2.0
H
New York City FC
2–0
+1.3
H
DC United
4–0
+1.0
A
Columbus Crew
1–2
-0.9
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (32 matches)
Model expected (17 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+30.7 points against the model's expectation over the 17 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
2.34
#1 of 30
Points over model expectation
30.7
#6 of 30
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
2.34
#1 of 30
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.72
#18 of 30
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
6
#17 of 30
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed46%
Scored before half time
of 28 goals
25%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 28 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 28 goals
41%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 22 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 32 stored fixtures
(50 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
MLSNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Chase Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
DLWWWL
last 12: 2.33 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
H FC Cincinnati 2-2 D · A New York Red Bulls 0-2 L · A Atlanta United FC 3-1 W · H New York City FC 2-0 W · H DC United 4-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 7 Nov21:00in 7dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Casemiro | from Manchester United | Free agent | 2026-07-21 |
| IN | Casemiro | from Manchester United | Free agent | 2026-07-20 |
| IN | Reguilón | from Tottenham | Free agent | 2026-01-25 |
| IN | R. De Paul | from Atletico Madrid | Transfer | 2026-01-22 |
| IN | R. De Paul | from Atletico Madrid | Transfer | 2025-12-31 |
| OUT | R. De Paul | to Atletico Madrid | Return from loan | 2025-12-30 |
| IN | R. De Paul | from Atletico Madrid | Loan | 2025-07-26 |
| IN | R. De Paul | from Atletico Madrid | Loan | 2025-07-24 |
| OUT | D. Gómez | to Brighton | Transfer | 2025-01-01 |
| IN | Jordi Alba | from Barcelona | Free | 2023-07-20 |
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Inter Miami play next?
Inter Miami's next fixture in the snapshot is Inter Miami v Charlotte on Sat 7 Nov, 21:00 UK time (Major League Soccer).