Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Los Angeles FC — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
2 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 6WDDDLL
6 pts from 6
H
New York Red Bulls
2–0
+1.0
A
Real Salt Lake
2–2
-0.3
A
DC United
0–0
-0.6
H
Portland Timbers
1–1
-1.1
A
Colorado Rapids
0–1
-1.5
H
San Diego
0–1
-1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches)
Model expected (9 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+0.1 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
0.7
#2 of 30
Clean sheets
4
#5 of 30
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.6
#15 of 30
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.7
#2 of 30
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
4
#5 of 30
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed78%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
22%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
67%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures
(12 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: BMO Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
WDDDLL
last 12: 1.17 scored / 0.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 17% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
H New York Red Bulls 2-0 W · A Real Salt Lake 2-2 D · A DC United 0-0 D · H Portland Timbers 1-1 D · A Colorado Rapids 0-1 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 13 Sept01:30in 28h 38mnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 5 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | A. Moran | to Brighton | Return from loan | 2025-12-30 |
| IN | A. Moran | from Brighton | Loan | 2025-08-21 |
| IN | Son Heung-Min | from Tottenham | Transfer | 2025-08-06 |
| IN | H. Lloris | from Tottenham | Free | 2024-01-31 |
| IN | E. Jakupović | from Everton | Free | 2023-01-09 |
Team data: fresh · collected 4 h ago
Graded calls — from the public ledger
| Posted | Match | Selection | Posted → close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles FC v Portland Timbers | Los Angeles FC to Win | 1.66 → — | — | OPEN |
| 2026-08-19 | Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.76 → 1.78 | -1.1% | ✕ LOSS |
| 2026-07-22 | Los Angeles FC v Real Salt Lake | Los Angeles FC to Win | 1.77 → 1.79 | -1.1% | ✓ WIN |
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Los Angeles FC play next?
Los Angeles FC's next fixture in the snapshot is Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC on Sun 13 Sept, 01:30 UK time (MLS).
