Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Los Angeles FC — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
2 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WDDDLL 6 pts from 6
H New York Red Bulls 2–0 +1.0
A Real Salt Lake 2–2 -0.3
A DC United 0–0 -0.6
H Portland Timbers 1–1 -1.1
A Colorado Rapids 0–1 -1.5
H San Diego 0–1 -1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 10 matches 0 8 16
+0.1 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 0.7 #2 of 30
Clean sheets 4 #5 of 30

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.6 #15 of 30
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.7 #2 of 30
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 4 #5 of 30

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
78%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
22%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
67%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (12 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
MLS MLS 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: BMO Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form WDDDLL last 12: 1.17 scored / 0.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 17% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
H New York Red Bulls 2-0 W · A Real Salt Lake 2-2 D · A DC United 0-0 D · H Portland Timbers 1-1 D · A Colorado Rapids 0-1 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept01:30in 28h 38m
    not modelled
    model building

Transfers (last 5 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT A. Moran to Brighton Return from loan 2025-12-30
IN A. Moran from Brighton Loan 2025-08-21
IN Son Heung-Min from Tottenham Transfer 2025-08-06
IN H. Lloris from Tottenham Free 2024-01-31
IN E. Jakupović from Everton Free 2023-01-09
Team data: fresh · collected 4 h ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-08-22 Los Angeles FC v Portland Timbers Los Angeles FC to Win 1.66 → — OPEN
2026-08-19 Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC Over 2.5 Goals 1.76 → 1.78 -1.1% ✕ LOSS
2026-07-22 Los Angeles FC v Real Salt Lake Los Angeles FC to Win 1.77 → 1.79 -1.1% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

MLS Next: Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC Search Los Angeles FC matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Los Angeles FC play next?
Los Angeles FC's next fixture in the snapshot is Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC on Sun 13 Sept, 01:30 UK time (MLS).