Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Nashville SC — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
66
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.3%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
2 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
6th
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
LDWWWW 13 pts from 6
A Toronto FC 1–2 -1.3
A New York City FC 0–0 0.0
H FC Cincinnati 4–0 +1.0
H Columbus Crew 3–2 +1.2
A New York Red Bulls 1–0 +2.0
H Inter Miami 4–1 +1.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 10 matches 0 10 20
+6.3 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 5 #2 of 30
Goals conceded 0.8 #3 of 30
Points over model expectation 6.3 #4 of 30

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.7 #12 of 30
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.8 #3 of 30
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 5 #2 of 30

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
43%
Scored before half time
of 7 goals
43%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 7 goals
14%
From the penalty spot
of 7 goals
40%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 5 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (12 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
MLS MLS 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Nissan Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form LDWWWW last 12: 1.75 scored / 1 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
A Toronto FC 1-2 L · A New York City FC 0-0 D · H FC Cincinnati 4-0 W · H Columbus Crew 3-2 W · A New York Red Bulls 1-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept00:30in 27h 39m
    not modelled
    model building

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-08-05 Nashville SC v León Nashville SC to Win 1.70 → 2.34 -27.4% ✕ LOSS
2026-07-22 Nashville SC v CF Montreal Nashville SC to Win 1.53 → 1.58 -3.2% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

MLS Next: Inter Miami CF v Nashville SC Search Nashville SC matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Nashville SC play next?
Nashville SC's next fixture in the snapshot is Inter Miami CF v Nashville SC on Sun 13 Sept, 00:30 UK time (MLS).