League One

England24 teamsRegular Season - 15LeagueLeague 1

8 League One fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

8 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
94.3%
Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-4.4%
5 settled
Fixtures Analysed
158
Held

Next fixtures

6 priced

League One table

derived · 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGFGAGD PtsForm
1 Huddersfield crestHuddersfield 148512812+16 29 DWWWW
2 Stockport County crestStockport County 148242614+12 26 WLDWW
3 Oxford United crestOxford United 137512211+11 26 WDWDW
4 Luton crestLuton 147342721+6 24 DWWWW
5 Plymouth crestPlymouth 147252119+2 23 DWLLW
6 Reading crestReading 146442515+10 22 LDWWL
7 Bradford crestBradford 13643108+2 22 LDDWD
8 Cambridge United crestCambridge United 1456321210 21 LDLDW
Derived from the 158 finished fixtures the engine holds for 2026/27 — the newest season observed, not a confirmed current one — not the official table.

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 6 months 30% 40% JunJulAugSepOctNov
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 1590 stored fixtures — 6 months carry a model sample, 6 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
No price has moved between captures yet
a move is the difference between two captures of the same fixture; the market is captured once a day, so a fixture priced only once carries no move — and a fixture that did not move is not listed as one that did

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.79
▼ -0.3
Goals per match
over 158 match · vs all competitions
14.6
▲ +0.9
Shots per team
over 10 team per match · vs all competitions
5.1
▲ +0.3
On target per team
over 10 team per match · vs all competitions
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 5 of 158 finished fixtures
52.5%
▼ -5.1%
Over 2.5 goals
over 158 match · vs all competitions
57%
▲ +2.3%
Both teams score
over 158 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend52.5% of the 158 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 41.8% of the 158 finished fixtures stored here, and 29.7% were drawn.
8
Upcoming
on the snapshot
2.75
Goals / match
last 12 results
58%
BTTS
7 of 12
33%
Over 2.5
4 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    Wigan Athletic crestWigan Athletic Barnsley crestBarnsley
    Regular Season - 15
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No stored table rows for this competition yet — no stored standings row is held for League 1.

All upcoming fixtures (8)

  1. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    Wigan Athletic crestWigan Athletic Barnsley crestBarnsley
    Regular Season - 15
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  7. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  8. Sat 14 Nov15:00in 7d
    Wimbledon crestWimbledon Blackpool crestBlackpool
    Regular Season - 15
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Teams this season (16)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-10-27 Luton v Doncaster Rovers Luton to Win 1.56 → 1.51 +3.3% ✓ WIN
2026-10-27 Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley FC Milton Keynes Dons to Win 1.66 → 1.61 +3.1% ✓ WIN
2026-10-21 Reading v Leyton Orient Reading to Win 1.56 → 1.65 -5.5% ✓ WIN
2026-10-20 Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County FC Over 2.5 Goals 1.70 → 1.62 +4.9% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 1 d ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which League 1 fixtures are coming up?
8 League 1 fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Stevenage v Mansfield Town on Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UK time.