SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Plymouth
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Plymouth

League One
Next match Blackpool v Plymouth Sat 19 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Plymouth — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
52.2
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.7%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
18th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 19 Sept15:00 Blackpool crest Blackpool A — no price —

Form

last 5
WLWDL 7 pts from 5
A Doncaster 3–2 +1.9
A Leicester 0–2 -1.1
H Bradford 2–0 —
A Wycombe 1–1 -0.1
H Stockport County 1–3 -1.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 4 7
+2.0 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 1.6 #17 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.4 #15 of 24
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.6 #17 of 24
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #16 of 24

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
40%
Scored before half time
of 5 goals
20%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 5 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 5 goals
25%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
LO League One 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWLLWL last 12: 1.67 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (16 results held)
A Doncaster 3-2 W · A Doncaster Rovers 3-2 W · A Leicester 0-2 L · A Leicester City 0-2 L · H Bradford 2-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 19 Sept15:00in 7d
    Blackpool crestBlackpool Plymouth crestPlymouth
    LO
    Regular Season - 7
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN O. Irow from Tottenham Loan 2026-08-23
IN L. Ashby-Hammond from Fulham Free agent 2025-07-22
OUT A. Phillips to Tottenham 2024-05-21
IN A. Phillips from Tottenham Loan 2024-01-08
OUT S. Sessegnon to Fulham 2022-07-01
IN S. Sessegnon from Fulham Loan 2022-01-31
OUT K. Watts to Newcastle 2021-06-01
OUT J. Opoku to Fulham 2021-06-01
OUT A. Lewis to Liverpool 2021-06-01
OUT S. Woods to Crystal Palace 2021-05-01
Team data: fresh · collected just now

Explore

League One Next: Blackpool v Plymouth Search Plymouth matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Plymouth play next?
Plymouth's next fixture in the snapshot is Blackpool v Plymouth on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League One).