Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Mansfield Town — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
55.8
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
18th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 5
LLWLW 6 pts from 5
A Bradford 0–1 -1.1
A Reading 0–5 -1.1
H Luton 5–2
A Peterborough 1–2 -1.1
H Doncaster 2–1 +1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 3 6
+1.0 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation 1 #17 of 24
Goals conceded 2.2 #22 of 24
Clean sheets 0 #24 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.6 #12 of 24
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2.2 #22 of 24
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 0 #24 of 24

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
60%
Scored before half time
of 5 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 5 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 5 goals
38%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 8 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (13 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L1 League 1 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Field Mill gazetteer
Recorded form LLLWLL last 12: 1.55 scored / 2.36 conceded per game · Over 2.5 82% · BTTS 55% · clean sheets 9% (11 results held)
A Bradford 0-1 L · A Bradford City 0-1 L · A Reading 0-5 L · H Luton 5-2 W · A Peterborough 1-2 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 18h 51m
    not modelled
    model building

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT G. Abbott to Tottenham Return from loan 2026-05-30
OUT O. Irow to Tottenham Return from loan 2026-05-30
IN G. Abbott from Tottenham Loan 2026-02-01
IN O. Irow from Tottenham Loan 2026-01-07
OUT N. Bishop to Manchester United 2022-07-01
OUT M. Longstaff to Newcastle 2022-07-01
IN M. Longstaff from Newcastle Loan 2022-01-31
IN N. Bishop from Manchester United Loan 2021-07-25
OUT K. Watts to Newcastle 2020-07-01
IN K. Watts from Newcastle Loan 2020-01-27
Team data: fresh · collected 39 min ago

Explore

League 1 Next: Mansfield Town v Huddersfield Town Search Mansfield Town matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Mansfield Town play next?
Mansfield Town's next fixture in the snapshot is Mansfield Town v Huddersfield Town on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League 1).