Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Stevenage — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
55
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
3rd
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6WWDDLD
9 pts from 6
H
Luton
2–1
+1.4
A
Barnsley
5–1
+1.9
A
Peterborough
0–0
-0.1
H
Doncaster
2–2
—
H
Oxford United
1–2
-1.6
A
Burton Albion
1–1
0.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches)
Model expected (6 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+2.4 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
1.17
#4 of 24
Points over model expectation
2.5
#6 of 24
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.83
#9 of 24
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.17
#4 of 24
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#13 of 24
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed22%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
22%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
50%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 6 stored fixtures
(13 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
LONo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Broadhall Way gazetteer
Recorded form
WWDDDL
last 12: 1.42 scored / 1 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 33% (14 results held)
H Luton 2-1 W · A Barnsley 5-1 W · A Peterborough 0-0 D · A Peterborough United 0-0 D · H Doncaster 2-2 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 19 Sept15:00in 7dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | T. Setford | from Arsenal | Loan | 2026-08-31 |
| IN | O. Sanderson | from Fulham | Free agent | 2026-06-30 |
| IN | Joe Knight | from Brighton | Transfer | 2026-01-30 |
| IN | Reece Phillip Peter Hannam | from Crystal Palace | Free | 2023-08-14 |
| IN | T. Ashby-Hammond | from Fulham | Free | 2023-07-01 |
| OUT | T. Ashby-Hammond | to Fulham | 2023-06-01 | |
| IN | T. Ashby-Hammond | from Fulham | Loan | 2022-07-01 |
| OUT | J. Cumming | to Chelsea | 2021-06-01 | |
| IN | J. Cumming | from Chelsea | Loan | 2020-08-17 |
| OUT | K. Watts | to Newcastle | 2020-01-10 |
Team data: fresh · collected 11 min ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Stevenage play next?
Stevenage's next fixture in the snapshot is Leyton Orient v Stevenage on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League One).