Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Barnsley — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
59.3
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
12th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
UnibetForm
last 6LLLLDL
1 pts from 6
A
Reading
1–2
-1.4
A
Luton
1–2
-1.5
H
Cambridge United
1–2
-1.2
A
Stockport County
1–3
-1.4
H
Leicester
1–1
-0.4
A
Plymouth
0–3
-1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches)
Model expected (11 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-6.2 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Goals scored
1
#19 of 24
Clean sheets
1
#21 of 24
Goals conceded
1.91
#22 of 24
Points over model expectation
-6.2
#24 of 24
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1
#19 of 24
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.91
#22 of 24
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#21 of 24
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed45%
Scored before half time
of 11 goals
18%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 11 goals
18%
From the penalty spot
of 11 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 20 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures
(31 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L1No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Oakwell gazetteer
Recorded form
LLLLLL
last 12: 1.33 scored / 2.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 92% · BTTS 83% · clean sheets 0% (40 results held)
A Reading 1-2 L · A Luton 1-2 L · H Cambridge United 1-2 L · A Stockport County 1-3 L · A Fleetwood Town 1-4 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | C. Slicker | from Ipswich | Loan | 2026-07-12 |
| IN | Isaac Smith | from Manchester City | Transfer | 2026-07-01 |
| OUT | O. Goodman | to Crystal Palace | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| IN | O. Goodman | from Crystal Palace | Loan | 2026-01-14 |
| OUT | J. Gauci | to Aston Villa | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| IN | J. Gauci | from Aston Villa | Loan | 2025-01-30 |
| OUT | G. Słonina | to Chelsea | Back from Loan | 2025-01-01 |
| IN | G. Słonina | from Chelsea | Loan | 2024-08-09 |
| IN | C. Styles | from Sunderland | 2024-06-01 | |
| OUT | C. Styles | to Sunderland | Loan | 2024-02-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 20 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Barnsley play next?
Barnsley's next fixture in the snapshot is Barnsley v Oxford United on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League 1).