CONMEBOL Libertadores

World47 teamsCupCopa Libertadores

1 CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

1 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
Not enough data
a complete three-way price is held for 1 fixture(s); 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-47.7%
3 settled
Fixtures Analysed
153
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 5 months 45% 50% JunJulAugSepOctNov
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 750 stored fixtures — 5 months carry a model sample, 5 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.11
▼ -1.0
Goals per match
over 153 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 153 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 153 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 153 finished fixtures
33.3%
▼ -24.4%
Over 2.5 goals
over 153 match · vs all competitions
43.1%
▼ -11.6%
Both teams score
over 153 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend33.3% of the 153 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 45.1% of the 153 finished fixtures stored here, and 26.8% were drawn.
1
Upcoming
on the snapshot
1.83
Goals / match
last 12 results
42%
BTTS
5 of 12
25%
Over 2.5
3 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Sat 28 Nov20:00in 26d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No league table for this tie Copa Libertadores is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.

Teams this season (2)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-10-21 Palmeiras-SP v Fluminense-RJ Palmeiras-SP to Win 2.04 → 1.78 +14.6% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: stale · collected 8 d ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which Copa Libertadores fixtures are coming up?
1 Copa Libertadores fixture is in the current snapshot, starting with Palmeiras-SP v Estudiantes La Plata on Sat 28 Nov, 20:00 UK time.