Girona FC v CD Castellón — La Liga 2 - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LAL·Regular Season - 5·Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 UK·Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona· 26.5°C · 8.7 kph windAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Girona FCvCD Castellón
Sat 12 Sept, 17:30Girona FC2.26Smarkets
Draw3.85Betfair
CD Castellón3.20Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 18 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, GironaKickoff weather: 26.5°C · rain 0 mm · wind 8.7 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWLDDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.67 / 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | at Sporting Gijon (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Las Palmas (H) | 5-2 | W |
| 2026-08-21 | at Cordoba (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-16 | vs Leganes (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-08 | at Gimnastic (A) | 1-1 | D |
WWDWWL
| Goals for / against (last 11) | 1.27 / 1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams scored | 36% |
| Clean sheets | 55% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | vs Albacete (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | at Celta de Vigo II (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Sabadell (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-14 | at Real Sociedad B (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-14 | at Real Sociedad II (A) | 1-0 | W |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Girona v Castellón | 3-3 | World — Friendlies Clubs |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 6 Sept, 07:06
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga 2 - Spain fixtures
Burgos CF v AD Ceuta FCAndorra CF v Real Sociedad BCádiz CF v Las PalmasGranada CF v AlbaceteCórdoba v AlmeríaSporting Gijón v CD Eldense
Frequently asked questions
When do Girona FC play CD Castellón?
Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 UK time in the La Liga 2 - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.