Guadalajara v Pumas — Liga MX prediction, odds and analysis
LMAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
GuadalajaravPumas
Mon 14 Sept, 02:07Guadalajara1.51Betfair
Draw4.50Unibet (UK)
Pumas6.50Unibet (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio Akron, Zapopan
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLWWDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.75 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | vs Primero Mayo (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Salamanca UDS (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at Atletico San Luis (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at Atlético San Luis (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz (H) | 2-2 | D |
WWLDDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.25 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | vs Leon (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-11 | vs León (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | at Club Tijuana (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-24 | vs Necaxa (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-16 | vs Club Queretaro (H) | 0-0 | D |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Guadalajara 3 wins2 drawsPumas 1avg 2.5 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Guadalajara Chivas v UNAM Pumas | 2-2 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2025-10-06 | UNAM Pumas v Guadalajara Chivas | 1-2 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2025-03-02 | UNAM Pumas v Guadalajara Chivas | 0-1 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2024-11-03 | Guadalajara Chivas v UNAM Pumas | 0-0 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2024-02-25 | Guadalajara Chivas v UNAM Pumas | 3-1 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2023-12-04 | UNAM Pumas v Guadalajara Chivas | 3-0 | Mexico Liga MX |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 4 Sept, 07:04
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Liga MX fixtures
Necaxa v PueblaAtlante FC v PachucaTijuana v QuerétaroToluca v AtlasMonterrey v TigresCruz Azul v América
Frequently asked questions
When do Guadalajara play Pumas?
Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 02:07 UK time in the Liga MX.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.