LDU Quito v Palmeiras-SP — Copa Libertadores prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
LDU QuitovPalmeiras-SP
Wed 16 Sept, 23:00LDU Quito2.90888sport
Draw3.20LeoVegas
Palmeiras-SP2.55Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 13 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, QuitoKickoff weather: 16.6°C · rain 0 mm · wind 4.1 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLWDLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.83 / 0.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | at Palmeiras (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-09 | at Palmeiras-SP (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at Tecnico Universitario (A) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-02 | vs Mushuc Runa SC (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | at Guayaquil City FC (A) | 1-2 | L |
WWDDDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.25 / 0.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 58% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | vs LDU de Quito (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | vs LDU Quito (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | at Botafogo (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | at Botafogo FR (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-03 | at Santos (A) | 0-0 | D |
Competition context
A league table does not apply to a cup tie, so none is shown.
| Round | Quarter-finals |
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
LDU Quito 1 win0 drawsPalmeiras-SP 3avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 0%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 4 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Palmeiras v LDU de Quito | 1-0 | World — CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| 2026-09-09 | Palmeiras-SP v LDU Quito | 1-0 | Copa Libertadores |
| 2025-10-31 | SE Palmeiras v LDU de Quito | 4-0 | Copa Libertadores |
| 2025-10-24 | LDU de Quito v SE Palmeiras | 3-0 | Copa Libertadores |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 10 Sept, 07:07
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Copa Libertadores fixtures
Frequently asked questions
When do LDU Quito play Palmeiras-SP?
Kick-off is Wed 16 Sept, 23:00 UK time in the Copa Libertadores.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.