León v Guadalajara — Liga MX prediction, odds and analysis
LMAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
LeónvGuadalajara
Mon 9 Nov, 02:00León3.10Unibet (UK)
Draw3.60Betfair Sportsbook
Guadalajara2.30Grosvenor
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 55 min ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio León, Leon
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LWDLDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | at Cruz Azul (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-11-01 | at Tritium (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-28 | vs Pro Patria (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Chievo (H) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Toluca (H) | 1-1 | D |
WWWDWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2 / 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | at Calvo Sotelo (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Atlante FC (H) | 4-2 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Atlante FC (H) | 4-2 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Real Valladolid II (H) | 4-4 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | at Monterrey (A) | 1-0 | W |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
León 3 wins0 drawsGuadalajara 3avg 2.8 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Guadalajara Chivas v Club Leon | 5-0 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2025-07-20 | Club Leon v Guadalajara Chivas | 1-0 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2025-01-29 | Club Leon v Guadalajara Chivas | 2-1 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2024-09-19 | Guadalajara Chivas v Club Leon | 2-0 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2024-03-09 | Guadalajara Chivas v Club Leon | 1-2 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2023-07-04 | Club Leon v Guadalajara Chivas | 1-2 | Mexico Liga MX |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 3 Nov, 08:03 · model run 2 Nov, 08:08
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Liga MX fixtures
Necaxa v TijuanaAtlético San Luis v FC JuárezAtlante FC v Santos LagunaAtlas v PachucaTigres v Cruz AzulTigres UANL v Cruz Azul
Frequently asked questions
When do León play Guadalajara?
Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 02:00 UK time in the Liga MX.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 3 November at 08:03 UK time. · engine slate assembled 54 min ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.