The model’s probability for each outcome beside the market’s devigged fair probability.
Data unavailable
The model has not produced a read for this fixture, so no comparison is drawn.
Outcome
Model prob
Fair odds
Best price
Edge vs fair
Newcastle Jets FC
—
—
2.02
—
Draw
—
—
3.90
—
Wellington Phoenix FC
—
—
3.50
—
Bookmaker board — who holds each price
Bookmaker
Newcastle Jets FC
Draw
Wellington Phoenix FC
Betfair
2.02BEST
3.90BEST
3.40
Smarkets
2.00
3.85
3.35
Coral
2.00
3.80
3.30
Ladbrokes
2.00
3.75
3.30
888sport
1.95
3.60
3.30
William Hill
1.95
3.60
3.30
Unibet (UK)
1.95
3.80
3.25
Betfair Sportsbook
1.91
3.90BEST
3.50BEST
Paddy Power
1.90
3.80
3.50BEST
Betfred (UK)
1.90
3.75
3.30
10 bookmakers · real captured prices · prices observed 16 h ago · BEST marks the market-best price for each outcome. Availability varies by region.
Sharp reference (raw): 1.953.903.54 — the line our fair odds devig from.
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement
1X2 · Newcastle Jets FC — best available price against the devigged fair line.
Metric Decimal oddsSample 2Source recorded odds snapshots
Best price — Newcastle Jets FC
Fewer than 5 settled results — a rate would be noise, so none is shown.
Every point is a real recorded observation. The line steps because a price holds until it is next seen to change — a sloped line would draw prices that were never observed. A break in the line is a period with no observations, not a flat one.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.
AL