Every fixture in the snapshot where the best captured price sits above the devigged fair
line — ranked "Recommended" by default (production flags first, then engine score and model EV); every other
sort is an explicit choice. Research, not instructions.
Price edge is a market statement —
the best available odds vs the devigged fair line (sharp-anchored where held): a mispricing claim, not a win claim.
Model edge is our model's probability minus the market fair probability, in points. Model EV
is the expected value of the current best price under our model. They are three different things and are never
relabelled as each other; judge all of them on the track record.
No positive-edge fixtures in Premier League right nowthat is this filter's honest answer, not a gap
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 13 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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Every positive-edge fixture, ranked in our recommended order with the fair line beside the best price — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.