Opportunities

Every fixture in the snapshot where the best captured price sits above the devigged fair line — ranked "Recommended" by default (production flags first, then engine score and model EV); every other sort is an explicit choice. Research, not instructions.

12positive-edge fixtures of 20 considered

All leagues EPL La Liga La Liga - Spain La Liga 2 - Spain Serie A Serie A - Italy 2. Bundesliga Austrian Football Bundesliga Bundesliga - Germany Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Rank by Recommended Model EV Model edge Price edge Model probability Kickoff

How to read these three numbers

Price edge is a market statement — the best available odds vs the devigged fair line (sharp-anchored where held): a mispricing claim, not a win claim. Model edge is our model's probability minus the market fair probability, in points. Model EV is the expected value of the current best price under our model. They are three different things and are never relabelled as each other; judge all of them on the track record.

UELWed 16 Sept, 17:45 · in 5d

FC Ararat-ArmeniavSparta Prague

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

UELThu 17 Sept, 20:00 · in 6d

LillestromvTorreense

Selection & numbers — free with an account

This fixture cleared our process bar.

Any single result stays uncertain.QUALIFIED — cleared our bar

UELWed 16 Sept, 20:00 · in 5d

AC MilanvBenfica

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELWed 16 Sept, 20:00 · in 5d

AnderlechtvLyon

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELWed 16 Sept, 20:00 · in 5d

SK Sturm GrazvRennes

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELThu 17 Sept, 20:00 · in 6d

Viktoria PlzeňvUnion Saint-Gilloise

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELThu 17 Sept, 20:00 · in 6d

Besiktas JKvMarseille

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELWed 16 Sept, 20:00 · in 5d

Olympiakos PiraeusvJagiellonia Białystok

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELThu 17 Sept, 20:00 · in 6d

Crystal PalacevLech Poznań

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELWed 16 Sept, 17:45 · in 5d

Omonoia FCvCelta Vigo

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELWed 16 Sept, 20:00 · in 5d

Hapoel Be'er ShevavDinamo Zagreb

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

UELWed 16 Sept, 20:00 · in 5d

Bayer LeverkusenvNK Celje

Selection & numbers — free with an account

The model’s expected return on the best available price is positive here.

Any single result stays uncertain.SHORTLISTED

Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.

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Every positive-edge fixture, ranked in our recommended order with the fair line beside the best price — free with an account. One email, no card.

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See the open track record

Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.