1FN

1. FC Nürnberg

Bundesliga 2 - Germany·Max-Morlock-Stadion

Next match Bayer Leverkusen v 1. FC Nürnberg Wed 28 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for 1. FC Nürnberg — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming9 Results held

Model Strength

49.7

Limited

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

4th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

9

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct19:45 Bayer Leverkusen A — 13.00888sport — Sun 1 Nov12:30 FC St. Pauli A — 3.20888sport —

Form

last 6

LDDWWD 9 pts from 6

H 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–1 -1.5

A Energie Cottbus 1–1 -0.3

H VfL Wolfsburg 4–4 -0.4

A Karlsruher SC 1–0 +1.9

H Hannover 96 2–1 +1.4

A Holstein Kiel 2–2 -0.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind

+5.7 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 2.33 #2 of 18

Points over model expectation 5.7 #3 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.33 #2 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.33 #7 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 2 #11 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

43%

Scored before half time

of 14 goals

14%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 14 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 14 goals

22%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (23 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BUN Bundesliga 2 - Germany 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct19:45in 36h 33m
   Bayer Leverkusen 1. FC Nürnberg

   DP

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov12:30in 5d
   FC St. Pauli 1. FC Nürnberg

   BUN

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

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