A. Italiano

Next match Deportes Limache v A. Italiano Mon 2 Nov, 21:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for A. Italiano — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming24 Results held

Model Strength

58.2

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

94.3%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

12th

of 15 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Mon 2 Nov21:00

Deportes Limache A — no price —

Form

last 6

DWWLDD 9 pts from 6

H Huachipato 1–1 -0.2

H O'Higgins 1–0 +1.7

A Concepción 1–0 +2.2

A Colo Colo 1–5 —

H Union La Calera 0–0 -0.9

A Everton de Vina 1–1 +0.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (24 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind

+18.4 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 9 #2 of 16

Goals conceded 1.33 #5 of 16

Weaknesses

Points over model expectation 18.4 #11 of 15

Goals scored 1.13 #13 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.13 #13 of 16

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.33 #5 of 16

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 9 #2 of 16

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

88%

Scored before half time

of 8 goals

13%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 8 goals

25%

From the penalty spot

of 8 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 24 stored fixtures (17 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

PD Primera División 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Recorded form DDLDWW last 12: 0.67 scored / 0.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 8% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 58% (25 results held)

H Huachipato 1-1 D · H Huachipato 1-1 D · A Colo Colo 0-1 L · H Colo Colo 0-0 D · H O'Higgins 1-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

Mon 2 Nov21:00in 7d

Deportes Limache A. Italiano
PD

Regular Season - 26

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 3 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
IN	Boris Iván Pérez Ulloa	from Everton		2013-01-01
OUT	Boris Iván Pérez Ulloa	to Everton	Loan	2012-02-16
OUT	F. Di Santo	to Chelsea	€ 4.5M	2008-08-01

Team data: fresh · collected 4 h ago

Explore

Primera División Next: Deportes Limache v A. Italiano Search A. Italiano matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do A. Italiano play next?

A. Italiano's next fixture in the snapshot is Deportes Limache v A. Italiano on Mon 2 Nov, 21:00 UK time (Primera División).